Czech markets  |  February 16, 2012 16:26:31

Continuation of growth or time to correct? Rather, the latter! / BIG EXPERT - shares: from the 13th week Second 2012


In the first half of February, the Prague Stock Exchange moved up and expressed the PX index, we finally crossed the magic threshold of 1000 points. After months of lethargy, it seems, perhaps investors waited to see "some of that rally." Were undoubtedly the main drivers of Erste Bank, which from a low of 270 CZK jumped by nearly 90% to a season-high 502 CZK. A similar scenario, albeit on a smaller scale, It worked for Commercial Bank shares, which jumped from 3200 CZK up to 3900, also a nice 22%. Third party to that caused an increase PX index were shares of CEZ, which maintain the level of CZK 750 also established a season-high for CZK 824, an increase of 10%. After changing the base PX index at the end of last year we have into this elite society that affects the direction the Czech issue index, classify and VIG, which went slightly in the shadow of the shares of its fellow Austrian Erste Bank, but alsoso could strengthen from 720 CZK to 860 CZK up, so a full 20%.

In recent days we see so called "doháněcí rally" at the CME and NWR shares, which, although not significant weight in the index, but it demonstrates a solid upward shifts. Shares of CME from its lows of 118 CZK for 44% added.

Investors must logically ask whether "Santa Claus rally" followed by "The January effect" will continue, for example, and turn in "Valentine's rally"?

Personally, I am convinced that the market is after two months, almost continuous riding a correction mature and new long positions would not open.

Taking into account the "Neverending Story" - Greece and its already approaching an uncontrolled bankruptcy, tensions over Iran and the U.S. maximum technical indexes can not be my recommendation for the coming weeks to sound different than "profit to close position and hold cash. Conservative investors should dividend should watch Descent titles.

Handbag Karl, CAPITAL GRANT

Expert opinions on the future development of selected stocks in the Czech capital market in the next month and a half years, from 13 a week Second The 2012th


The estimate for the period from 13 Second to 12 Third 2012 (1 month)

Name
Attractiveness
Price
(Monday)
Definitely
buy
Buy
No
action
Sell
Definitely
sell
ERSTE BANK GROUP ^ 25 475 A 2 2 A 0
NWR ^ 25 152.51 0 3 3 0 0
VIG ^ 17 865 A A 3 A 0
PEGAS NONWOVENS ^ 17 448.1 0 3 2 A 0
CETV ^ 8 170.5 A 0 4 A 0
CEZ ^ 8 819 0 A 5 0 0
TELEFÓNICA O2 CR ^ 8 376 0 2 3 A 0
UNIPETROL ^ 8 169.3 A 0 4 A 0
COMMERCIAL BANK 0 3710 0 A 4 A 0
PHILIP MORRIS CR 0 11 606 0 2 3 0 A


The estimate for the period from 13 Second to 13 8th 2012 (6 months)

Name
Attractiveness
Price
(Monday)
Definitely
buy
Buy
No
action
Sell
Definitely
sell
ERSTE BANK GROUP ^ ^ 50 475 A 4 A 0 0
NWR ^ 42 152.51 A 3 2 0 0
CETV ^ 42 170.5 2 A 3 0 0
VIG ^ 33 865 0 4 2 0 0
PEGAS NONWOVENS ^ 33 448.1 0 4 2 0 0
CEZ ^ 8 819 0 2 3 A 0
TELEFÓNICA O2 CR ^ 8 376 A A 2 2 0
UNIPETROL ^ 8 169.3 0 A 5 0 0
COMMERCIAL BANK ^ 8 3710 0 2 3 A 0
PHILIP MORRIS CR ˇ -17 11 606 0 2 A 2 A

Comparison:

Look also to the estimates made ??last and before last week.
All estimates can be seen in the section Expert BIG .

Reviews carried out in this week:

  • Michal Chrvala - Active Capital
  • Libor Bucek, John Mach, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlin
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Charles handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Premysl Nevlud - LUTHERUS
  • Dusan Reactive - UniCredit Bank Czech Republic

Statistics deals with the ten most liquid stocks traded on the PSE. The tables contain a summary of estimates of experts listed. The column "Price", says Monday's rate of selected titles from which experts in their estimation was based. With this value are estimates after a period of one to six months compared to evaluate success. The column "attractiveness" the weighted average number of different views and can take values ??from -100 to +100. Number of views "Sell", "Buy," etc. is published in other columns.
Note: Assessment takes the form of non-binding opinion, whether a security should be to buy or sell in anticipation of developments in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.cz assume no responsibility for these differences.

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