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Macroeconomics  |  August 08, 2012 15:50:00

The overall outlook is weaker than in May, the Bank of England


The British central bank in the quarterly statement of expected inflation, economic downturn three quarters in a row and then a slight recovery. Combined incentive program for the purchase of financial assets and credit program should support the foundation for economic growth. Factor fiscal consolidation, tighter credit conditions and the weakness of the major foreign trade partners will act as a brake on growth. View of the British economy is weaker than in May and remains very uncertain. The greatest threat to recovery based on risk in the euro area.Economic growth is likely to surpass pre-crisis level until 2014.

Consumer inflation has fallen dramatically from its peak in September last year (5.2%) and in June was at 2.4%. The central bank expects will continue to decline from current levels and move on or just below the objective by both the impact of external price pressures ease and domestic price pressures will remain subdued. The forecast horizon, the risks to inflation target of about 2.0% or less balanced. The August estimates forecasters are slightly weaker than it was in May.Project the growth of the British economy in the two-year term, around 2.0% and CPI inflation close to 1.7%.



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