Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
Markets  |  September 10, 2012 10:49:22

Fed will leave rates at zero until mid-2015


Even 6 months ago by traders in the currency and bond markets really believed that the Federal Reserve by the end of 2013 will increase the rate. Now the mood has completely changed and developments on the contrary, it seems that the current belief is set to zero the Fed keeps rates at least until mid 2015.
Index volatility of government bonds declined by 62%, suggesting that market participants expect a longer period of zero rates the Fed. Spread between 2 and 5-year U.S. government bonds, which usually falls in assumptions prolonged stable base rates are now 50% lower than in 2008. Investors count with only weak growth of the economy and only weak inflation.

Bonds specialists also reduce their forecasts for the development of U.S. government bond interest. A month ago, it was estimated that the 10-year government bond, which serves as the benchmark, the essential reference, concludes this year and next year to yield 1.9% 2.7% respectively. Currently but investors are estimated to decrease 1.65 or 2.38%.
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Fed ponechá sazby na nule až do poloviny roku 2015

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