Research (Investicniweb.cz)
World markets  |  September 10, 2012 15:45:52

Technical Analysis: Bulls celebrate Draghi and Bernanke have in reserve



Range of 1 395-1 426, in which the S & P 500 remains 20 business days, during optimistic "Draghi Thursday" did not last. Price has reached the maximum several times and approaching the topline rising channel, which is on level 1 450th Above it is a good chance that this year will see and value 1 500

Closest to the supports of 1420 (August peak), 1 395-1 400 (minimum for the last 2 weeks) and on the lower line of the channel 1 385-1 390, which defines the interface bull market.

S & P 500

S & P 500 - Technical Analysis
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VIX
VIX - Technical Analysis

Conclusion: The S & P 500 remains in a rising channel. As long as the inside is in a bull trend. Closest to the supports of 1420 (August peak), 1 395-1 400 (minimum for the last 2 weeks) and on the lower line of the channel 1 385-1 390, which defines the interface bull market.

If the S & P 500 trading at growing the top line channel is likely rapid, short-term correction. Between Wednesday and Thursday's opening closing price is a big price jump, where the index will be returned. In addition, at Thursday's rally strengthened more than 90% of the shares of the NYSE, which is the situation, after which the reaction is reversed himself never blossoms.

September is statistically the worst month for stocks, which proves rewarding investment articles. Since 1950 resulted in the loss of 61% in years. However, if we look at the result of the last 7 years, September in five cases resulted in profit. And neither presidential election years do not look so bad - the last six September "succeeded" three times. How to get to statistics recorded in September 2012, the Fed is likely to decide at its meeting on Wednesday and Thursday.

Editor's note: After Friday's bad report from the U.S. labor market is betting on further quantitative easing again increased. They assume it Nouriel Roubini, among other things, and Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs. Previously it as a fait accompli identified as Bill Gross.

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