Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
World markets  |  November 05, 2012 11:41:57

Facebook: can withstand the pressure of his shares in the next few days?


Facebook as part of their remuneration system divided the internal staff, such as long-term employees, millions of shares. These "bound" shares can not be sold by a certain date. One of these data, it was Monday, the 29th October, when it was "released" 235 million shares.

The sale of these shares due course superbouři Sandy was neither on Monday nor Tuesday. New York Stock Exchange, however, re-opened on Wednesday and trading volume on Facebook(NASDAQ: FB) told me that the above-mentioned shares hit the market. Average daily volume is 50,000,000 shares, but in the middle we have seen 100 million, twice, implying that some owners of shares FB choose cash .

What can be determined from the volume of business

Given the total volume of 100 million units and groovy experience in selling large "packages" of shares I would expect that the market has been settled up to 25 to 30 million newly freed shares. So we still have something left over 200 million newly freed shares. Assuming that all shares recently released on the market is heading, can these remaining 200 million shares in the coming days to continue to put some downward pressure on share prices.We do not know whether this is indeed the case, but it does suggest potential downward pressure on the stock this title.

Additional shares will follow!

Note that when the current pressure subsides, investors will likely look 14th November, which is already shortly. This day will be, another 777 million shares. There is therefore a high probability that the stock price will move temporarily to lower levels, as investors face a whole bunch of shares that are newly available.

Risk

There is a risk that the market actually receives only a fraction of the released shares. In this case, it would probably be expected with Facebook unsubstantiated significant price reductions. Financial Results for the 3rd Facebookquarter were better than expected, and its shares to strengthen risk by 20%, which are loose shares is the main reason why we are in such low price levels.

Overall, however, expect in the near future a strong headwind, which would in the coming days could prove a further decline in stock prices.

Peter Bo Kiaer, stock analyst, Saxo Bank

 

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