Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  November 12, 2012 16:21:00

Crown today more or less stagnated


Trading with the Czech crown at the beginning of the new week was very quiet. All trades with the currency pair EUR / CZK held during the day on the interbank market 9haléřovém band above the 25.30. Crown today opened at its current weakest level against the euro and the rest of the day slightly solidified.

Data on the current account of the balance of payments went without response markets. He ended up with a deficit for September CZK 7.1 billion, while the consensus was less than a billion worse. Data can be evaluated quite positively when the Czech Republic nesužují problems with external imbalances. For the whole of this year, we expect the current account deficit below 1% of GDP by -2.9% last year. The main reason is much better dynamics of foreign trade, which translates into a high surplus in the current account of the goods.Compared with the original estimates should also positively affect the balance of income due to a lower outflow of dividends abroad. For this improvement is, paradoxically, the weakness of domestic economy, which generates lower demand for imports (factor improving trade balance) while shrinking corporate profits. The balance of services and current transfers should record year deterioration. The deficit on the current account should be surplus to finance (1) financial account in particular through reinvested earnings or the inflow of foreign direct investment, and (2) capital account by an influx of money from European funds.

Very quiet mood prevailing and other markets. Neither bond swap curve is now virtually move.


Author: Miroslav Frayer

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