Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Commodities  |  November 15, 2012 08:52:00

The European currency against the dollar blamed modest gains


Euro against the dollar yesterday flourished when the common European currency have bettered the morning levels around 1.2720 USD / EUR 1.2750. However, these modest gains are only partial correction of losses from previous days.
Yesterday published economic data disappointed. In the U.S., retail sales were released for October which are indications, as doing household consumption in the last quarter of this year. The total retail trade fell in October by 0.3% MoM. The so-called. control group, which is used in the calculation of consumer spending, then fell by 0.1% m / m, while the market expected to grow by 0.4%. Better data was received or from Europe, where German industrial production disappointed when it fell by 2.5%.
Today, the calendar will be charged. In the euro area will be published GDP figures for the third quarter of this year. For the entire EMU our colleagues from SG expect stagnation, growth of 0.2% QoQ came in line with our expectations in Germany and France. On the other hand, the Southern States should remain in recession, while in Italy and Spain by our colleagues in SG expected decline of 0.3% q / q. Besides GDP data will be released in October and inflation in EMU and UK retail sales. The U.S. also will see the October inflation, the markets will be more interesting, however, regional industrial confidence index (Philadelphia and New York), where our colleagues from SG expect deep declines. Hurricane Sandy brings to the data at present volatility, which affects nearly most of the data from the real economy.And weekly unemployment applications are affected by this hurricane. Last week, due to decreased to 355 thousand. (Not as an application in the affected areas), this week, however, could jump to 400 thousand.


Author: Jiri Skop

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