Czech markets  |  November 22, 2012 17:34:33

What will be the end of the Prague Stock Exchange? / BIG EXPERT - shares: Week from 19 11th 2,012


By the end of this calendar year remains a little over a month and a domestic investor may start slowly stock of the past year.

PX Index this year was not too volatile. Beginning of the year was marked by the lingering euphoria of the previous year and the index could from their starting values ??to 920 points to strengthen the surface of 1000 points. Here too, however, warmed up, and followed by a decrease to below 880 points. The decline became as otherwise nervousness regarding the development and resolution of the debt crisis in the euro area, as well as the Czech consumer, yet the domestic economy does not help much.

During the autumn of losses and managed to get dirty PX index is currently around 970 points., Ie stronger by 5% compared to the beginning of the year.

An ideal choice for this year showed the PSE dividend strategy guarantees that "inflicted" least harm.

Most undoubtedly experiencing joy shareholders Commercial banks, whose shares climbed to its maximum cross. In combination with the dividend 160 CZK already in advance is the absolute winner of the domestic floor.

Relatively satisfied may be shareholders of Philip Morris, Pegasus, Fortuna and VIG. These titles are not subject to excessive volatility, carry a smaller but steady dividend income.

Virtually without much investor interest, this year "bludgeoned" Unipetrol, which is practically not traded. Perhaps a similar fate awaits the newcomer on the Prague Stock Exchange - Stock Tatra Mountain Resort.

Its shareholders have experienced Orco, which upon conversion of debt into equity giant perhaps moving in towards a better tomorrow. While stocks move lower than at the beginning of this year, from a low of 35 CZK but could strengthen by almost 100%.

Only relative satisfaction obviously there to the owners of shares of CEZ and Telefonica O2. Dividends are paid, the shareholders may be happy, but another outlook remains shrouded in considerable uncertainty. CEZ in recent days under the pressure of low electricity prices, problems in Albania and it seems that its bottom still be found. Similarly seek their minimum share Telefonica O2, which came under pressure due to weak economic performance of its competitors in neighboring countries and speculation about unsustainability of the dividends paid.

Shareholders CETV during big moneymaker experienced. Shares were in the range from 120 to 160 crowns. In recent days, under pressure from weak results make new lows.

As for Waterloo shareholders must feel NWR. Cyclic title that practically wrote off 50% of its value is ruthlessly approaching its historical bottom around 60 crowns. Furthermore, with a huge dose of uncertainty into next year.

What will be the finale of this year will depend on the geopolitical situation in the Middle East and (not) solve the fiscal cliff in the USA.

Karel Handbag, GRAN CAPITAL

Expert opinions on the future development of selected stocks on the Czech capital market in the next month and a half, a week from 19 11th 2012th

The estimate for the period from 19 11th to 17 12th 2012 (1 months)

Name
Attractiveness
Price
(Monday)
Definitely
buy
Buy
No
action
Sell
Definitely
sell
PEGAS NONWOVENS
^ 25
464
0
2
2
0
0
PHILIP MORRIS CR
^ 12
10610
0
2
1
1
0
ERSTE BANK GROUP
0
526.9
0
1
2
1
0
CETV
0
96.3
1
0
1
2
0
FORTUNA
0
82
0
1
2
1
0
UNIPETROL
0
169
0
0
4
0
0
NWR
ˇ -12
75.4
0
0
3
1
0
COMMERCIAL BANK
ˇˇ -50
3,926
0
0
0
4
0
ČEZ
ˇ ˇ -62
675
0
0
0
3
1
TELEFÓNICA O2 CR
ˇ ˇ -62
351.5
0
0
0
3
1


The estimate for the period from 19 11th 2012 to 20th 5th 2013 (6 months)

Name
Attractiveness
Price
(Monday)
Definitely
buy
Buy
No
action
Sell
Definitely
sell
ERSTE BANK GROUP
^^ 50
526.9
0
4
0
0
0
PEGAS NONWOVENS
^ 38
464
0
3
1
0
0
CETV
^ 38
96.3
1
1
2
0
0
NWR
^ 38
75.4
0
3
1
0
0
COMMERCIAL BANK
^ 25
3,926
0
2
2
0
0
FORTUNA
^ 12
82
0
1
3
0
0
UNIPETROL
0
169
0
1
2
1
0
ČEZ
0
675
0
2
1
0
1
PHILIP MORRIS CR
ˇ -12
10610
0
1
1
2
0
TELEFÓNICA O2 CR
ˇ -38
351.5
0
0
2
1
1


Rating this week performed:

  • Libor Bucek, Jan Mach, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Karel Handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Dušan Reactive - UniCredit Bank Czech Republic

Statistics deals with ten of the most liquid stocks traded on the PSE. The tables contain a summary of the estimates of experts listed. The column "Price" the Monday course selected titles from which to its estimates experts came out. With this value estimates will be after a period of one to six months, compared to evaluate success. The column "Attractiveness" the weighted average number of views and can take values ??from -100 to +100. Number of views "Sell", "Buy", etc. is published in other columns.
Note: Ratings are in the form of non-binding opinions, whether a security would be advisable to buy or sell with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.czassume no responsibility for these differences.

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