Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
Macroeconomics  |  November 30, 2012 10:58:27

China - confidence in the strength of the economy is the highest in more than a year


According to the Bloomberg survey among 862 global investors and experts is the current confidence in the strength of the Chinese economy among respondents highest in more than a year. In the growth or stagnation of the local economy at least believed in October by 72% compared to 38% in September. This is expected to grow 28%, the highest since September 2011. Only 25% see more negative economic developments, the lowest since the beginning of the survey. In September, thus considered a full 61% of respondents.

52% of respondents believe in pro-growth effects of the new measures, the party leadership headed by Xi Jinping. In September it was 42%.
Almost half of the respondents estimated that the new leadership of the country maintains or even move further support measures launched by the previous administration. 19% of respondents anticipates a further escalation of support, 54% expect their stagnation and only 6% expect a reduction in aid.

Build confidence in the recovery of growth stems mainly from the resumption of growth in the manufacturing sector and retail sales.

27% of respondents said that the Chinese market next year will offer the best opportunities in the global comparison. In September, it was believed that only 11% of respondents. Better options offer only the U.S., which highlights 40% of respondents.

20% of respondents estimated further growth of economic interdependence with the United States, 57% of respondents in this regard allows for maintaining the current level, and 10% expect interference constraints. 27% of respondents expected that tensions in relations with its closest neighbors as Japan, South Korea and the Philippines. 41% expect the status quo and 12% expected to improve relations.
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