Saxo Bank (Saxo Bank)
World markets  |  December 14, 2012 14:07:27

Apple under the tree, shares slump can be a great opportunity


Apple Fall can be a great opportunity

Apple shares reached a peak during the 21st September ($ 705.07), but has since lost much and are traded under 540 USD per share. The main culprits are hedge funds, which are entered into profits at a lower tax on capital gains (15 percent). First January 2013 is toll rises to 20 percent.

Another culprit is constant reports on how Android increasing market share. Director of Google, Eric Schmidt, roztrubuje to the world that Google is winning the war of mobile platforms such as when Microsoft Operating Systems Apple slaughtered in 80th and 90th

We expect that it would be best to hold shares of Apple about a month. The strategy is gradual buying of during December, whenever the share price falls due to oversold by the Funds. That we should get in early January for a nice opening price.

24th January 2013 Apple published its first results for the last quarter of 2012, which should skvět usually high Christmas sales. Over the last four years exceeded profits last quarter of expectations significantly and on average followed up by several percentage points.

This business strategy assumes that Apple will return the favor active investment and hedge funds, which will begin in January, with net trading desk. The point is that Apple's weight in the S & P 500 still represents 4 percent, and many active fund managers simply can not afford to make a mistake for Apple, as they could easily fall behind the index.

Production, operations, finance and popularity of the Apple brand - everything is still intact and active managers know this. Despite the fact that Android can cut a larger share of the profits, Apple continues to reap the most profits and its users spends more applications. The risk to the developers to turn back to its operating system, is now very low.

Tactical and technical comments

How to invest? As described above, the idea is in need to buy on dips in December, holding a position in the quarterly results announcement 24th January and the subsequent closure of positions.

Risk: risk biggest trade are in danger of failure to reach agreement on averting America's fiscal crisis, which sent U.S. stocks into the uncertainty or the collapse of a truant Southern.The constant stream of negative news could send for a longer period of share value down. The risk we see in the case of further holding position after announcing the results of the 24th January.

Peter Garnry, Equity Strategist, Saxo Bank


 

 Globální online investiční banka

Saxo Bank je globální investiční banka specializující se na online obchodování a investice na mezinárodních finančních trzích. Saxo Bank umožňuje soukromým investorům a institucionálním klientům obchodovat s FX, CFD, cennými papíry, futures, opcemi a dalšími deriváty a poskytuje i profesionální správu portfolia a fondů díky svým online obchodním platformám oceněným řadou různých ocenění.

Více informací na: www.saxobank.cz

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