eTrader (eTrader)
World markets  |  January 04, 2013 15:41:52

Brief situations Wall Street: restrained opening 4.1.13


The final trading session of the first week of 2013 is likely to be marked by major macro data and trading scenarios can also speak slightly mixed manner on sentiment signals from yesterday's FOMC Minutes report.

The notoriously brought new impulses from the FOMC of opinions of U.S. central bank to implement stimulus to the economy by the acronym QE3 in the sense that the Fed is willing to significantly slow down the activity of purchases of government bonds or MBS or this way to support the economy to a complete stop before the end of this year. It is therefore a new element for investor sentiment village and every step, which means less activity in the provision of central banks to stimulate economic recovery, may be negative for markets.

On the other hand, this apparent signal can also bring something positive and maybe the knowledge that at the end of the Fed QE3 thus expresses its confidence in the U.S. economy and the entire financial system that is able to tighten perhaps accelerating economic "cart" in and of itself, without institutional influential foothold. So we will see gradually that this view of the fact prevail ...

The macro data were reported by economic calendar items essential for job creation in the non-agricultural sector (Nonfarm Payrolls) for December with the number 155 thousand. vs. expectations of 150 thousand., private seats were added 168 thousand. vs. assumption of 145 thousand.and the overall level of unemployment recorded a 7.8% versus estimates of 7.7%. After opening more markets will be added indicators for November factory orders and ISM services with the expectation of 53.5 points.

In the euro area was for December 12 recorded improved outcome indicator Markit composite PMI index, while the private sector came up with a number of 47.2 points (9-month maximum) compared to 46.5 points in November 2012. However, the expectation was at 47.3 points. Continues contractions sector. German PMI rolled over into positive territory to 50.3 points, while France, Italy and Spain remain shrinkage zone.Likewise, the British entry in the services PMI fell into contraction to 48.9 points from 50.2 in the previous November. In the case of inflation was recorded in euro figure 2.2% in December, which is the same as in November, but above expectations 2.1% and also above the ECB to 2.0%.

In China, the growth of the automobile industry estimates vary in numbers between 5-10% in 2013 in response to the slowing economy and higher fuel costs, it slightly undermines demand. It also reduces the incentives of local governments ambitions plans for companies General Motors (GM) and Ford (F).

Major U.S. stock indexes therefore begin trading Friday as follows: DJIA -0.02%, Nasdaq Composite -0.09% and +0.05% SP 500.

On the commodity markets, the NYMEX crude oil is on course $ 92.34 per barrel and the price of gold is $ 1,640.60 per troy ounce (about -34 USD). On the Forex Cross Rates EUR / USD at 1.3042 limit.

The government bond market is a benchmark title 10Y Treasury Note yield came to 1.923%.

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Stručná situace Wall Street: zdrženlivý opening 4.1.13

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