Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Commodities  |  January 10, 2013 08:24:00

Euro against the dollar on Wednesday continued to lose



Even in the middle of the common European currency failed when the USD / EUR has shifted from morning levels around 1.3080 USD / EUR 1.3050. In the U.S., no interesting data released yesterday was not so interesting for the markets was only the German industrial production for November. After the worst exports and new factory orders and industrial production disappointed, which grew by only 0.2% MoM. It would have been so terrible result, but expected that the industry in November erases part sinks that recorded in the previous two months.

Even today, very interesting data will not be published. Definitely an interesting industrial data from France in November (see if there will be no disappointment as in Germany) and Greek unemployment for October.In the USA, will be published weekly unemployment applications, which is expected to decrease slightly to 365 thousand., And wholesale inventories for November.

The most interesting events will undoubtedly ECB meeting, which should leave its key rate unchanged at 0.75% (5 of 55 economists expects a decline in interest rates by 25 bps). Move would not, however, neither the deposit rate, which is at zero. Last month, an increase in expectations that the ECB rate cut to proceed. This was due to a significant revision of the central bank forecasts downwards (-0.3% of GDP this year) and more dovish signals (comments of members of the ECB or signs of spread of the crisis from the southern to the northern countries). However, data released in recent times and improved sentiment in markets should be sufficient to enable the ECB rate reduced.The ECB is not very important remedy efficient transmission of monetary policy, which serves unconventional tools. Eurozone interest rate cut would not help.


Author: Jiri Skop

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