Josef Kvarda (HighSky)
Investor's window  |  February 08, 2013 17:02:27

A week of big news USA


Week of major U.S. news: the economy shifts into a higher gear

The U.S. economy, the engine of the world economy in recent quarters still does not show convincing growth performance. Economic sentiment in recent weeks but improved. Last week chocked full of important macroeconomic news had significantly clues on whether the Fed is filled with optimism and investors. It turned out that the economy is slowly starting to lift his head and shifts, speaking motorsport terminology, the 3rd gear - the positive trends connected with the seeds of growth in aggregate demand, however, as well as weak points were confirmed. Information should chronologically ascending process of the week-optimistic nature, they can be divided into 3 groups:

Adverse: The only significantly negative surprise was that the January consumer sentiment index fell Conference Board. Households are still facing uncertainty, fiscal policy and high energy prices. On the other hand, it is confirmed that the conditions of households in terms of the labor market, home equity and income rather slightly improved. Generally people historically morality is still very low and will take at least a couple of quarters before getting to his usual long-term levels.

Neutral: GDP for the fourth quarter, while reported an unexpected decline, however, with the exception of a surprise drop in exports has brought a positive message news: reduction of inventories and government spending was offset by a continuing growth in household consumption and corporate investment. Structure of the report rather than reminiscence recession accentuates the continuation of the current economic growth. Most were expectedFed decision on key interest rate. event brought no surprises, Communiqué for decision evaluation economic development has seen only incremental changes. Fed and still maintains ultraexpanzivní monetary policy speculation but an early reduction in circulating markets on the basis of improved sentiment, ek. information and, finally, changes of position of center of gravity central bank (see record the decision on interest rates in December). employee cost index for the fourth quarter confirmed consistently moderate wage growth.

Positive: The January ISM indexes industry, services, and the Chicago Purchasing Managers Employment entrenching existing favorable growth trend: while the growth rate of the economy, region, industry and the labor market is not yet solid and the company is still under pressure to strengthen their capital, production and labor capacity ( viz. volumes backlog), growth in output, new orders and employment (in the sum of revisions for previous months) strengthened.Things are bound to particular sectors of the growing market of home (furniture industry, electrical home appliances industry) but should also be retail. Companies a lot of comments and statistics documenting the adverse effects of uncertainty, especially the unresolved fiscal years to the project on corporate plans, investments and expenses

Ing. Josef Kvarda

analytik společnosti HighSky Brokers, a.s.

Vystudoval ekonomickou fakultu VŠB v Ostravě, obor národohospodářství. Působil jako analytik ve společnosti ATLANTIK finanční trhy, kde se zabýval makroekonomickými analýzami a projekcemi hlavních světových ekonomik a finančních trhů, zejména měn. Od ledna 2012 pracuje jako analytik ve společnosti HighSky Brokers a pokrývá forexové a komoditní trhy. Rovněž se specializuje na světovou a domácí makroekonomickou situaci. Pravidelně přednáší o finančních trzích a fundamentální analýze na seminářích pro veřejnost. Součástí jeho analytické práce je také poskytování informací a komentářů.

O SPOLEČNOSTI
Společnost HighSky Brokers, a.s. je prvním obchodníkem s cennými papíry na českém trhu, který svým klientům poskytuje možnost obchodovat měny (forex), komodity, akcie, akciové indexy a dluhopisy prostřednictvím nové obchodní platformy MetaTrader 5. Tuto platformu využívá jako jeden z prvních i v Evropě. Společnost vznikla v roce 2010 a disponuje licencí České národní banky. Základní kapitál společnosti činí 37, 5 milionů korun.

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