Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
World markets  |  February 13, 2013 08:18:00

Eyes investors target U.S. retail sales


The lack of new economic reports signed under calmer trading on global markets. Euro more expensive during yesterday's session against the dollar and cent less than during the Asian trading today, the price remained near 1.3450. Attention investors, we were directed rather to the Japanese yen, which has seen slight gains in response to the statement by the G7 meeting at which voiced concerns about too rapid weakening Asian currencies. Due to the measures taken by the Japanese government and the central bank is only weakened against the dollar since November by almost 20%. However, it is expected that the comment had resulted in turning the trend. It can be assumed that a weakening of the yen will continue. In the night from Wednesday to Thursday will be the Bank of Japan. The last meeting adopted the 2% inflation target and increased its program of buying assets.From the forthcoming negotiations with any news waiting. However, further easing of monetary policy are still applicable. This should take place but probably after replacing the governor and his two deputies. The most likely date for further action thus seems to April.

This day should be from the perspective of macroeconomic events interesting. Data on European industrial production should remind us that the euro area economy is still in recession. On the other hand, we can cautiously say that the worst is hopefully behind. In the coming months, it will be important to make positive leading indicators also shown in the real data. More attention, however, investors will head for the January retail sales in the United States. Consensus suggests a slight rise, estimates colleagues of SG are optimistic.The numbers will be particularly interesting from the perspective of the impact of fiscal consolidation. To what extent do people fear further development, if you tend to save for a rainy day, or vice versa begin to spend more. The decision on the fiscal cliff is made by the end of this month. Favorable data would reduce the need for further monetary policy stimulus to the economy, which would be a positive impetus for the U.S. dollar.


Author: Miroslav Frayer

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