BOSSA.CZ (BOSSA.CZ)
Macroeconomics  |  February 28, 2013 15:55:00

Intraday Analysis EUR / USD and all news from the U.S.


iPoint.cz The U.S. economy has achieved only modest growth in the last quarter of the 2012th The GDP in measurements mezikvartálním straighten up by 0.1 percent. While economists believed the world's largest economy and predicted 0.5 percent growth. U.S. and reached the slowest growth since the first quarter in 2011. Such economic performance to significantly reduce unemployment, which targets the Fed chief Bernanke B., will not be enough.

Weak growth is mainly due to the slowdown in inventory accumulation and cuts in military spending. Inventories stepped down 1.55 per cent of GDP and military expenditures declined by 22 percent, which amounts to 1.28 percent of GDP.Consumer spending, which accounts for approximately 70 percent of the total product, could annually grow by a mere 2.1 percent.

Moderate expansion helped decrease the import of 4.5 percent during the last three months the 2012th It was thus a greater drop in imported goods than in the previous quarter. Buying goods produced outside the U.S., takes money out of the economy and reduced GDP growth. In addition, exports would lose so much in spite of the ongoing recession in Europe and slowdown of the Chinese economy. Better performance of exports and lower imports led eventually to the rapid revision of a previous estimate, which featured the economic downturn of -0.1%.

New applications for unemployment benefits fell by more than expected estimates. Since last measurement decreased 22,000 applications in total 344 000th Economists had expected 360,000 new applications.4-week moving average of measuring the number of new applications dropped by 6,750 to 355,000 applications. According to analysts, the Ministry of Labour not to estimate the number of applications in any country, in contrast with previous measurements. The number of Americans receiving long-term unemployment benefits fell by 91,000 to 3.07 million.

U.S. needs in the near future to achieve the creation of at least 250,000 new jobs per month. This rate should then maintain at least three months in a row, because otherwise, according to economists fail to reduce the high unemployment rate of 7.9 percent. On average, the U.S. is now 177,000 new jobs per month, which is not yet sufficient. The U.S. central bank is fighting with the unfavorable situation on the labor market through quantitative easing when the monthly purchasing bonds worth $ 85 billion.

Entrepreneurial Activityin the American Midwest in the industrial area of Chicago in February 11měsíčního reached maximum. For improving state can increasing new orders showed Institut inventory management (ISM). The Chicago purchasing managers index (PMI) reached 56.8 points better off and so the previous result - 55.6 points. PMI remains for the fourth month in a row above 50, which separates expansion from contraction. Prospectively, this would be the field should continue to thrive.

Eurodollars yet filled morning analysis. Hidden bearish divergence with the resistance caused by reflection from today's decline. Market in the 4 hours chart remains below the long-term moving averages of 100 and 200, which indicates superiority sellers. The nearest support level remains Fibonacci 61.8.



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