Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  March 05, 2013 08:17:00

Euro to remain under pressure

Week beginning was in major markets quiet trading and hit a few economic indicators. January producer prices in the euro area, which slightly exceeded expectations and rose by 0.6% m / m, the euro had substantial influence. Markets, however, disappointed investors' confidence in the European economy, as measured by the Institute Sentix, which fell in February from -3.9 points to -10.6 points (consensus while pointing to a decline in the -4.3 point). Investors apparently reflected the uncertain outcome of the elections in Italy, which is a risk to the entire euro area. Rate of the euro against the dollar during the day once again tested the level of 1.30 USD / EUR and finally closed trading only slightly above this level.

Today is the fundamental point of view interesting. In the eurozone, we will see the final publication of the February PMI indices of services, in Italy we will see its first estimate. Consensus indicates a further decrease in activity when analysts expect 43.5 43.9 January point after point. Later will also be published in January retail sales for the whole euro area, which would be expected to increase by 0.3% m / m after a sharp contraction of 0.9% in December. Year on year but sales would be lower by 2.9%. From the United States comes the February purchasing managers index ISM non-manufacturing, which is expected a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points to 55 points.

Author: Marek Dřímal

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