BHS (BH Securities a.s.)
World markets  |  March 29, 2013 17:11:48

Japanese stocks do best this year for the last 4 decades, the U.S. for 26 years


Stock markets closed today March month, respectively. the first quarter of this year. Similarly in February was the development of the monitored markets quite diverse. This year, however, his dominance once again confirmed the shares in Japan. Supported by political action, respectively. further weakening of the currency only in March further added more than 7%. Received the highest level since September 2008 and, since early in the second half of March and attributed more than 20%. Eventually their profit this year to date amounted to "only" 19.27%. For the local shares in any event is the most successful start of the year for the last four decades.  

Certainly among investors watched U.S. markets in March placed immediately in other places. All three major indexes have improved by more than 3%. Their Thursday sessions as if to confirm its March "record" development, when the index DJIA repeatedly recorded new highs. New top end on the index is over 14 578 points. The new all time highs but found myself broader index S & P 500, which thus surpassed the closing highs of October 2007. But for Nasdaq U.S. indices this year already as fast as before and recorded double-digit growth as the most successful start to a new year since 1987.You can mention that from their crisis lows of March 2009, the DJIA index improved by more than 125%, the broader index S & P 500 by as much as 135%.  

The above mentioned markets this year may actually compete only shares in the UK, who manage to keep performance pleated mainly in the opening month of the year. Partly as a managing reputation from last year, when compared to the "competition" less accumulated profits.

If we look at Europe as a whole, 50 major titles this year evolving neutrally. In March, the very worst led stocks in neighboring Austria, which fell by more than 6%. We can say that quite logically, this is partly reflected in the developments in Prague. To more than 11% decline PX index is most negatively affected the shares of Austrian Erste. VIG lost less than 3%. Another negative mover and were particularly volatile stocks TELEFÓNICA O2 with almost 7% shift below. Most, however, declined CETV shares (-18.95%). Although the PX index in March briefly looked into this positive performance, eventually closed down 5.1% this year and its total loss increased to 7.3%. Worse, the domestic market has developed recently in 1Q 2009. But then if there was a significant turnover and ultimately brought the entire year appreciation of over 30%.Such a development is the current state seems to be more like science fiction. Shares in the region in general this fails, you can mention especially Poland, which this year with more than 8% of the observed loss affects markets even worst. You certainly negatively affect and prepared further privatization of state shares.

This adverse trend can mention especially in Brazil. The local index extended losses in March and since the beginning of the year, falling over 7.5%, the worst year of introduction from 1995. Below stretch Exchange particular commodity stocks. Mention may especially iron ore producer Vale, but also in our more well-known oil company Petroleo Brasileiro, respectively. Petrobras (PBR). With the title in the form of ADRs traded on the NYSE as well.

Overview of performance monitored markets in March 2013:

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Capacity (one month)

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Index 29.3.2013

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Index

5pt; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-TOP: rgb (0,0,0) 0px; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt; mso-border -right-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt "vAlign = bottom width = 121 nowrap>

Austria

5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt "vAlign = bottom width = 73 nowrap>

-6.59%

Country

2,304

ATX

China

-5.45%

2236.62

Shanghai Composite

CR

-5.10%

962.86

PX

Hungary

-5.04%

17,857.42

BUX

Poland

-3.34%

2370.07

WIG 20

Russia

-3.17%

1438.93

MICEX Index

Hong Kong

-3.13%

22,299.63

Hang Seng

Brazil

-1.87%

56,352.09

IBOVESPA

Europe (Blue Chip)

-0.36%

2624.02

EURO STOXX 50

India

-0.14%

18,835.77

BSE 30

France

0.23%

3731.42

CAC 40

Germany

0.69%

7795.31

DAX

Great Britain

0.80%

6411.74

FTSE 100

USA

3.40%

3267.52

Nasdaq

USA

3.60%

1569.19

S & P 500

USA

3.73%

14,578.54

DJIA

Japan

7.25%

12,397.91

Nikkei 225

 

Overview of performance since the beginning of 2013:

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Performance (2013)

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Index 29.3.2013

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Index

5pt; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-TOP: rgb (0,0,0) 0px; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt; mso-border -right-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt "vAlign = bottom width = 121 nowrap>

Poland

5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5 pt "vAlign = bottom width = 75 nowrap>

-8.24%

Country

2370.07

WIG 20

Brazil

-7.55%

56,352.09

IBOVESPA

CR

-7.30%

962.86

PX

Austria

-4.20%

2,304

ATX

India

-3.04%

18,835.77

BSE 30

Russia

-2.63%

1438.93

MICEX Index

Hungary

-1.74%

17,857.42

BUX

Hong Kong

-1.58%

22,299.63

Hang Seng

China

-1.43%

2236.62

Shanghai Composite

Europe (Blue Chip)

-0.45%

2624.02

EURO STOXX 50

Germany

2.40%

7795.31

DAX

France

2.48%

3731.42

CAC 40

USA

8.21%

3267.52

Nasdaq

Great Britain

8.71%

6411.74

FTSE 100

USA

10.03%

1569.19

S & P 500

USA

11.25%

14,578.54

DJIA

Japan

19.27%

12,397.91

Nikkei 225

Finally, we can mention briefly the development of major commodities. In March, the successful oil, especially those in America. WTI have scored 5.6% to $ 97.23 and its performance since the beginning of the year is still about two tenths higher. North Sea Brent in march better off just +1.1% to USD 110 and toned so this loss of less than one percent. March was just very average growth characteristic WTI, making the gap to Brent at just under 13 USD.

The price of gold last year showed mediocre development. Introduction of this year is strictly negative when you drop below the level of the Comex 1600 USD, it means almost 5% loss. For silver ($ 28.32) is a drop even more than 6%.

J. Ramakrishnan

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