World markets  |  April 11, 2013 18:25:20

Conducted by the Bank of Japan / BIG EXPERT - foreign markets: a week from 8 4th 2,013


In recent days shaped the market in the first place especially the central bank. The new governor of the Bank of Japan sent a clear signal to the markets and delivered what Japanese Prime Minister Abe recently promised aggressive quantitative easing monetary policy in an effort to lead the country after years of failed attempts to start the deflation and economic recovery. Securities repurchase program was run in less than two years increased by about 1.4 astronomical trillion. dollars, and growth balance BoJ should overcome even the speed at which inflates the U.S. central bank's balance FED. In the game, now in addition to the medium-and long government bond purchases as well as funds, as well as other risky assets. Japanese shares reacted further growth, while domestic currency weakens more quickly.Impacts of the experiment, which displaces the BoJ pushing yields investors from domestic bond market, however, go beyond the island state. In the pursuit of income benefited from the reallocation of assets such as European government bonds - a significant jump in price growth was seen for example in French bonds.

> On the contrary, the ECB, despite the ongoing recession and worse makrodatům, again resorting to any action (question hanging napříkladnad rate cuts) and its policy remains the Big Four (Japan, UK, USA, EMU) alone. The ECB has now effectively de facto more monetary tightening. Worse data, however this time it also came from the United States: the labor market and the ISM index disappointed.Pessimism, however, went out a Report of Alcoa, which kicked off earnings season in the U.S. in the first quarter and helped the U.S. indices back to historic highs. Following are the financial institutions to which they are added next week as Intel and Coca Cola. Market very closely follows the Data from the labor market, with inflation currently makes quantitative in USA. Moreover, among the members of the Federal Reserve since the beginning of a discussion on the possible suppression of purchases and these voices gradually growing. Not to mention the psychological effect that the second quarter shares in the last few years in a row did not.

Patrick Hudec, Generali PPF Asset Management,
fund manager společnost

Expert opinions on the future development in selected foreign markets monitored through indices and comparison with the Czech capital market (PX) in the next month and a half, a week from 8 4th 2013th


Experts estimate for the period of one month

Pointer
Hodn.
5th 4th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
946.81
977.20
975
^ 3.21
963 - 1 000
5
0
Dow Jones (U.S.)
14 565,25
14 656,00
14680
^ 0.62
14350 - 14950
4
1
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 203,86
3 263,80
3,280
^ 1.87
3 200 - 3329
4
1
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 249,80
6 390,20
6,390
^ 2.25
6300 - 6471
5
0
DAX (Germany)
7 658,75
7 826,60
7,850
^ 2.19
7700 - 7933
5
0
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
12 833,64
13 026,80
13000
^ 1.51
12400 - 13684
3
2


Experts estimate for the period of 6 months

Pointer
Hodn.
5th 4th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
946.81
982.20
990
^ 3.74
950-1 003
5
0
Dow Jones (U.S.)
14 565,25
14 849,20
14950
^ 1.95
14350 - 15246
4
1
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 203,86
3 321,20
3,340
^3.66
3220 - 3396
5
0
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 249,80
6 397,00
6,535
^ 2.36
6 000 - 6600
4
1
DAX (Germany)
7 658,75
7 922,40
8,012
^ 3.44
7650 - 8050
4
1
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
12 833,64
12 974,00
13000
^ 1.09
11980 - 14090
3
2

Rating this week performed:

  • Luke Langer - CYRRUS
  • Hana Hradilová, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Karel Handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Jaroslav Brychta - X-Trade Brokers

The tables contain a summary of the estimates of experts in the list. The column "Actual value" represents the value of the monitored indices (Friday's closing value), from which experts in their estimates came out. With this value, the estimates of experts after a period of one to six months, compared to evaluate success. "Median" is a number that is in the middle the size of a structured set of estimates and "Interval Estimates" lists the minimum and maximum estimate file. Columns "Increase / Decrease" indicate the number of experts assume that the index of the period under consideration, given the current value rises or falls.
Note: Estimates are in the form of non-binding opinions with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.czassume no responsibility for these differences.

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