Research (Investicniweb.cz)
Commodities  |  April 13, 2013 17:04:20

How will the price of oil? View up to the year ahead



Weak demand, but also geopolitical risks - to predict the price of oil is really not easy.

The current situation

Brent crude oil prices stood at around 110 USD per barrel (the price is in the range from 100 to 120 USD mostly ranges from early 2011) due to a combination of slightly more optimistic outlook of the world economy (and thus higher expected consumption growth) and continuing tensions in the Middle East. Price fluctuations primarily related to short-term fluctuations in market sentiment triggered by current events (the published data, the European debt crisis).

WTI Crude oil is still held by approximately 10 to 20 USD below due to the continued production of relative surplus in the interior of the United States and Canada, and inadequate logistical infrastructure does not allow a sufficient volume of traffic onGulf Coast.

Near term (one month)

Do not expect any significant permanent price shifts. Recovery of the world economy should help keep the price close to current levels, or (if they come more encouraging data) to support its growth. In the region of the Middle East do not expect in the foreseeable future appeasement, so should continue to keep the risk premium, possibly by an increase.

Another factor potentially influencing the price of oil is extremely loose monetary policy of major central banks and related excess liquidity in the financial markets. This liquidity can also occasionally directed to oil and thus may promote growth trends. Currently therefore the balance of risks towards the higher price of oil.

What is 6 monthly and annual outlook for oil prices, can be found on the web Investment

City is not just a Cityboy. Even so, there but most people think he's doing divine work, says anthropologist exploring London banker

DNA banker remains unchanged. The City of London is still full of aggressive, intractable dogs, whose room for maneuver because of the crisis just slightly reduce some clues. But the time allows or disappear and everything will be the same, Joris Luyendijk predicts that monitors the London banker for The Guardian. Bankers belief that it stands on the side of good, combined with the fact that in the current system play a key role, according to him, is cause for concern.

The stock market behaves like the real estate in 2006, says Sam Zell. Not to go against the Fed? Even this may not apply, adds David RosenbergThe stock market behaves like the real estate in 2006, says Sam Zell. Not to go against the Fed? Even this may not apply, adds David Rosenberg

Maria Bartiromo a chat with two personalities, which investors respectfully listen - Sam Zell and the David Rosenberg. A discussion it was quite nutritious.


Was this article: 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0


Last news from the section Commodities:

Ne   9:09  Šejkové z Perského zálivu zavedou 5procentní DPH Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
So   9:08  OPEC ve třetím čtvrtletí 2017? Buď, anebo! Saxo Bank (Saxo Bank)
Pá 22:01  Wall Street Closing Bell & výhled na týden od 21. 8. 17 Grant Capital (Grant Capital)

Read also:

June 21, 2017Cena ropy dále klesá, od začátku roku -20% Research (Conseq)
June 03, 2017Goldmani snižují výhled pro ceny ropy v letech 2017-20 Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
May 10, 2017Nízké ceny kakaa a výhled na rok 2017 STOX.CZ (Grant Capital)

Jak se bude vyvíjet cena ropy? Výhled až na rok dopředu

Diskuze a názory

Na dané téma nejsou žádné názory.


Zobrazit sloupec 
Moner | ISIN database | Weather forecast
Česká verze
Kurzy.cz - Akcie cz, kurzy měn, forex, zlato.
Favorite: Prague Stock Exchange Czech crown Czech economy Commodities Gold Trademarks Prague Weather

Copyright © 2000 - 2017

Kurzy.cz, spol. s r.o., AliaWeb, spol. s r.o.,

ISSN 1801-8688