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World markets  |  18.4.2013 17:51:54

Uncertainty prevailed in the markets / BIG EXPERT - Foreign Markets: week from 15 4th 2013


After a relatively quiet period preceding months, the financial markets have grown apart right or left, there was a period of heightened uncertainty. U.S. stock indexes retreated after reaching historical highs, and represent a highly volatile session. The S & P 500 after Tuesday's highest drop this year (+2.3%) performed the next day, the second highest growth. In the case of European indices outweigh declines and most of them including the German Dax or pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 is already in this year swung into the red.

The main topic of the week, however, the fall in prices of precious metals. Gold lost during the two days to 15.6% and silver fell by more than a fifth. With speculation about the reasons for the fall of the proliferated.Recommendation from Goldman Sachs to sell precious metals through speculation on the sale of gold and Cyprus indebted poor results of the current Chinese economy to chitchat different analysts about the end of the golden supercyklu, or fairy tales about the economic recovery in the USA.

But the truth is that the sale can technically run any "sell" command in the event of a favorable adjustment markets. On New York's Comex on Friday brought together a large sales order for 400 tons of gold, which is almost a fifth of global annual production. Sales volumes in the gold market did not stand a chance, especially when the baby for several months in a declining trend. On the surface, Reviews Support 1525 USD / oz. on gold were stacked up on Friday and sell orders in the fall with a snowball effect snowballed further. Silver followed gold price declines and the percentage of them eventually overcame.

Demand for physical gold and paper in the form of funds or ETF CFD contracts may be like chalk and cheese. Just in the middle of U.S. Mint has sold two tons investment coins and bullion. Since the beginning of April it sold 4.5 tons of gold, which is more than in the last two months together. Investors react to price declines in the case of physical gold more than the paper. Metal price from Monday's slump gained ground, by Thursday noon, but still does not get above 1400 USD / oz. Gold is up too wants a likelihood of further declines would be disorderly underestimated.

George Tyleček, X-Trade Brokers


Expert Opinion on future developments in selected international markets monitored through indices and comparison with the Czech capital market (PX) within one month and a half,in the week of 15 4th 2013th


Experts estimate for the period of one month

Pointer
VALUEa
12th 4th
Average
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decline
PX
977.92
965.80
965
ˇ -1.24
920-1 029
1
4
Dow (U.S.)
14 865.06
14 474,80
14475
ˇ -2.62
14250 - 14600
0
5
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 294.95
3 177,00
3198
ˇ -3.58
3080 - 3277
0
5
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 384.40
6 296,00
6200
ˇ -1.38
6180 - 6560
1
4
DAX (Germany)
7 744.77
7 676.00
7550
ˇ -0.89
7460 - 8095
2
3
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
13 485.14
12 940.80
13100
ˇ -4.04
12504 - 13200
0
5


Experts estimate for the period of six months

Pointer
VALUEa
12th 4th
Average
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decline
PX
977.92
997.80
990
^2.03
950-1 039
4
1
Dow (U.S.)
14 865.06
14 527.60
14700
ˇ -2.27
13350 - 15050
2
3
NASDAQ (U.S.)
3 294,95
3 257,00
3338
ˇ -1.15
3010 - 3342
3
2
FTSE 100 (UK)
6 384.40
6 456,00
6600
^ 1.12
6050 - 6690
3
2
DAX (Germany)
7 744.77
7 839,00
8050
^ 1.22
7150 - 8255
3
2
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
13 485.14
13 095,20
13,000
ˇ -2.89
12850 - 13500
1
4


Rating out in this week:

  • Tomáš Menčík - CYRRUS
  • Hana Hradilová, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrik Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Charles handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Jaroslav Brychta, George Tyleček - X-Trade Brokers

The tables contain a summary of estimates of experts in the list. The column "Actual value" the value of the observed indices (Friday's closing value), from which experts in their estimation was based.With this value, the estimates of experts after a period of one to six months compared to evaluate success. "Median" is a number that is surrounded by the size of a structured set of assumptions and "Interval Estimates" indicates the minimum and maximum estimate file. Columns "Increase / Decrease" indicate the number of experts assume that the index in the period due to the current value rises or falls.
Note: Estimates are non-binding form of views with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.cz assume no responsibility for these differences.

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