Saxo Bank (Saxo Bank)
Finance  |  December 08, 2010 11:23:08

North Korea bomb risk

Koreans into it again rested yesterday, and certainly do everything possible to suppress the slightest hint of risk appetite. Stock markets retreated a bit from Tuesday's highs, but interest in them at the end of this period clearly decreasing.

It is not surprising that in a world of options, there is less volatility. However when compared with the overall volatility in the spot market from day to day, it looks rather strange.I would like to draw your attention to the VIX index and DX, which should at this point to give speculators a good idea about the direction of the spot market. The first of these expresses the overall risk sentiment in the market and the other provides information about the overall position of the USD and what you can expect from the major currency pairs during the day.

Today's events calendar is rarely empty, so it will emerge from it very little. However, I have, as I mentioned last week, noting that disclosures are secondary at this point and everything revolves around the geopolitical situation.

As for major currency pairs, generally now expect further strengthening USD, but do not leave too carried away with it. Yesterday's short position in AUDUSD has paid off. Likewise, the EURUSD. Correction, which simply had to come, came at night. USDCAD jumps above and left in its wide range, while the other pair GBPUSD just behind, but goes beyond them in tow.

Do I want to point out one thing in my eyes is more important, and it is the fact that the Chinese move their publishing schedule data for 11 December, which means that on Sunday this coming weekend (if not on Friday), we can almost safely expect the tightening of monetary policy. Do not say then, that nobody warned you.

Ken Veksler, Senior Manager, Advisory, Trading, Saxo Bank

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