Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
Macroeconomics  |  December 10, 2010 09:15:44

China trade surplus and new loans in November of estimates


Surplus of China's foreign trade reached in November 22.9 per mld.USD level. Exports grew 35% year on year to 153.3 mld.USD, imports rose by 38% to a record 130.4 mld.USD. The market average calculated with a surplus at 21.2 mld.USD.
The November surplus was 5 this year with a volume over 20 mld.USD. In October it was 27.2 mld.USD.

The balance of trade with the U.S. surplus in November reached 16.7 mld.USD, Europe and 13.6 billion USD.
Exports to Russia rose year on year by 72.7% to South Africa by 48% to the U.S. grew "only" 29.5% and Europe by 33.3%.
Imports from Australia has thus increased by 55.4% and 64.1% of South Africa, which demonstrates the continued hunger for raw materials.

The volume of new loans in November reached a level 564 = about 85 mld.Juanů mld.USD. Government to meet the limit for new loans totaling 7.5 trillion yuan remains to be about 50 billion USD. Market volume counted about 500 mld.juanů.

Monetary aggregate M0 in November increased by 16.3 percent, the growth rate of M1 reached 22.1 percent above the expected 21.5%, as well as the M2 with the growth of 19.5% over the expected 19.1% growth.

Today's reports indicate high rates of growth of domestic and foreign demand, which should lead to another "exitovým" action by governments and central banks. Speculated that the Chinese central bank could decide this weekend to raise rates. Now this is basically regarded as certain.
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