Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Commodities  |  May 04, 2012 16:31:00

The crown back over 25 CZK / EUR


Conclusion of the week was quiet on the regional markets and trading spilled into any publication of macroeconomic indicators. Koruna against čtvrtečnímu conclusion remained almost unchanged at slightly above 25 CZK / EUR. Other Central European currencies, however, attributed about half a percent loss, the reason could be a rise in risk aversion due to bad data from the U.S. labor market. The U.S. economy is set up in April, only 115 thousand. jobs when the market value of the expected 160 thousand.

On Monday, the Czech Republic will see the first batch of regular macroeconomic indicators.

The March retail sales should rise in annual terms by 0.3% lower after February's 1.6% y / y (in February this value is positive but only at first sight because of higher number of working and calendar days). Revenues, net automotive segment should be in March increased by 0.7% y / y, brakes will be sales in the automotive segment, which should fall by 0.3% y / y (the first decline since last June).

In March, we expect a slight deterioration in the trade balance by CZK 3.0 billion to 23.1 billion (SA), which occurs almost entirely in the balance of commodities (for historically high oil prices in koruna terms). The overall balance should close in excess of CZK 29.1 billion (not seasonally adjusted), which represents an annual improvement of 6.1 billion CZK.

Czech swap yield curve today lowered its tendency, when the long end of its decline lagged behind a stronger move the short end of a 6 bp down.

Author: Mark Dřímal

Tyto zprávy pro vás vytváří Investiční bankovnictví KB.
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Koruna zpět nad 25 CZK/EUR

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