Cyrrus (Cyrrus)
Markets  |  May 31, 2012 16:58:50

In captivity, bad news


Today's trading day has begun a slight upward correction after yesterday's big drop.

But after a series of bad macroeconomic indicators from the U.S. markets have decided to continue the drops last week.

Another factor is, of course, Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy. Greece in recent days, several reports almost daily election polls, which the market is very sensitive.

It becomes a phenomenon of recent times that more than anything else, just markets react to political statements, election polls, etc.

Currently, the German DAX Index -0.6% moves in the negative, the U.S. indices are about 0.75% in the negative. Also, be forfeited and oil, which lost almost 4% yesterday, today continues to fall further percentage.

The question is where next?

In my opinion, problems in Europe will still continue, so in the short term are very likely to further declines.

On the other hand - yesterday published estimates of the leading banks and economists talk about the prospects for 1400 points on the index SPX500, which would mean the current values ??of the area about 7% growth year-end. I agree with this view and in my opinion, the situation in the second half of this year is more likely to improve gradually.

So I tried to possible declines in the coming days / weeks of use to shop toward the end of the year.

In any case, using stop-loss guidance, because the threat of failure in the system as a whole is growing, and even an inflatable balloon can not expand forever, as some governments try to inflate their budgets, or indebtedness.

The difference is that what happens when přefouknutí balloon is clear about all of us, but what happens in case of system failure - that we can only speculate.


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