World markets  |  June 14, 2012 17:09:17

What will next week? / BIG EXPERT - foreign markets: from the 11th week 6th 2,012


As we approach the weekend, is back in the forefront of the outcome of repeated Greek parliamentary elections, which most likely decide whether Athens will remain in the eurozone. When victory leftist movement Syriza pauses unpopular reforms that will lead very quickly to other agreements concerning the abolition of financial assistance and the Greeks return to the drachma. In recent days, preferences and coping as a variant appears to be a victory pro-European party New Democracy, which goes hand the demands of European furniture.

Greece, as a starter in the EU debt crisis, already rather behind the escalating problems across the EU, which in past weeks again noticeably agitated developments in the capital markets.Escalating problems of Spanish banks led to rapid assistance can be in the form of large cash injection of up to EUR 100 billion, the actual range will also depend on the outcome of an independent audit of the local banks. However, should you need reassurance yet ephemeral, bond yields of peripheral euro zone countries again attacking its maximum. Growing speculation that the next candidate for the application for financial assistance will be especially Cyprus and Italy. However, paradoxically speaking, how much more will continue to escalate problems in the EU, the sooner come to the central authority with another auxiliary measures (understood faster printing new money).

For the next development will be crucial if the planned meeting (G20, FED, EU summit) already deliver more concrete vision of looming project to support economic growth through higher investment, or any common bond of EU countries.Markets have been slowly accustomed to debt problems in the EU, which will probably pull more years and it does not matter if the participation of Greece, or without him. Despite the worsening situation in the global economies have been over the last month attacked on foreign indexes lows last year. Any specific stimulus could as early as next week to spark a rally in the capital markets.

James Menšík, LUTHERUS


Expert opinions on the future development in selected foreign markets monitored through indices and comparison with the Czech capital market (PX) in the next month and a half, a week from 11 6th 2012th


Experts estimate for the period of one month

Pointer
Hodn.
8th 6th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
886.00
883.17
880
ˇ -0.32
859-920
3
3
Dow Jones (U.S.)
12 554,20
12 499,33
12500
ˇ -0.44
12246 - 12700
3
3
NASDAQ (U.S.)
2 858,42
2 835,50
2,839
ˇ -0.80
2761 - 2890
3
3
FTSE 100 (UK)
5 435,10
5 467,33
5,500
^ 0.59
5325 - 5580
4
2
DAX (Germany)
6 130,82
6 201,33
6,250
^ 1.15
6038 - 6320
4
2
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
8 459,26
8 576,33
8,581
^ 1.38
8350 - 8800
4
2


Experts estimate for the period of 6 months

Pointer
Hodn.
8th 6th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
886.00
934.17
933
^ 5.44
903-970
6
0
Dow Jones (U.S.)
12 554,20
13 095,50
13025
^ 4.31
12750 - 13633
6
0
NASDAQ (U.S.)
2 858,42
3 037,83
3,050
^ 6.28
2 902 - 3 150
6
0
FTSE 100 (UK)
5 435,10
5 729,17
5,705
^ 5.41
5 610 - 5967
6
0
DAX (Germany)
6 130,82
6 724,33
6,725
^ 9.68
6346 - 7 000
6
0
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
8 459,26
9 132,50
9,135
^ 7.96
8825 - 9600
6
0


Comparison:

Refer also to the estimates made ??last and before last week.
For all estimates can be seen in section BIG Expert .

Rating this week performed:

  • George Šimara - CYRRUS
  • Libor Bucek, Jan Mach, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Karel Handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • James Menšík, Paul Skořepa - LUTHERUS
  • Jaroslav Brychta - X-Trade Brokers

The tables contain a summary of the estimates of experts in the list. The column "Actual value" represents the value of the monitored indices (Friday's closing value), from which experts in their estimates came out. With this value, the estimates of experts after a period of one to six months, compared to evaluate success. "Median" is a number that is in the middle the size of a structured set of estimates and "Interval Estimates" lists the minimum and maximum estimate file. Columns "Increase / Decrease" indicate the number of experts assume that the index of the period under consideration, given the current value rises or falls.
Note: Estimates are in the form of non-binding opinions with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.cz assume no responsibility for these differences.

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