Research (Investicniweb.cz)
World markets  |  July 14, 2012 15:54:45

Stocks are historically still overvalued by 30%



U.S. stocks are currently more than 30% above its long-term trend. The one on my chart of the S & P 500 since 1871 drew well-known investor Doug Short. Areas correspond roughly to the long-term trend (secular) bull and bear markets, the average annual index added 1.72%. As shown in the lower curve 140letého rate deviations from trend, U.S. stocks are high above it, the current market (bullish or bearish only by the length of time frame) is then returned to him. If the S & P 500 remains strictly the line of its growth, moving it around 955 points.

Development of U.S. stocks and deviations from long-term trend

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