Research (Investicniweb.cz)
World markets  |  July 28, 2012 13:27:15

9 reasons why in the second half pays to bet on shares



Although in the current uncertain environment, no one can predict what the stock market will take place tomorrow (although some analysts look like soothsayers and shoot from the hip with accurate predictions of long-term objectives), there are several reasons why the shares should, in the second half year better off. This principal is that the worst scenarios are already included in their prices.

First The ubiquitous pessimism

Any positive news is swept under the rug and their impact on asset prices is subdued and temporary. For example, the U.S. housing market, which has the greatest impact on consumer confidence and unemployment is starting to recover! Growth is not a rocket, but it is noticeable.No one but we do not believe.

Second Negative numbers everyone knows

Everyone now knows how to develop the debt of Italy and of its income from government bonds. It is said that the market is overbought and there is a twist when the markets are optimistic and shares talking people who are not in the field. Nor does it the other way around - if all people suddenly become economic experts and predict that the economy goes further down, it suggests that the trend will break soon.

Third Bond fetishism

The second quarter saw iShares Corporate Bond Fund, compared with other ETFs highest inflow of capital - $ 2.5 billion, closely followed bond fund Vanguard finished the $ 2 billion. In contrast, the money flows out of equity funds.

4th A hundred-dollar gain in the S & P 500

Still you hear around you, as the profit margins of firms peaked. The cost of commodities and labor are reduced - there is no reason to paint the devil on the wall!

5th Central banks do not need to fight inflation or deflation

The new central bank debate is only about whether to leave interest rates at zero.

6th And what about Europe? Look to Ireland

Ireland is funded again in the markets, cheaper than Spain. But no one talks about it. 58miliardovou emergency loan yet received less than two years.Ireland and Spain and Portugal proves that the way out of debt crisis exists.

7th Investment strategists hate shares

Indicator stock bullish sentiment on Wall Street over the past 11 months has fallen nine times. Last fall it retreated 0.8% to 49.3 - the first time found himself under 50 for nearly 15 years. This means that the strategists bears much more than during the technology bubble and financial crisis in 2008. A clear signal kontrariánský!

8th China and its slowdown

China is not unlike other economies tied his hands and has a handle on how to spur growth. Pessimism in the short to medium term should subside.

9th Apple holds shares

Apple faces a period Perná - Introduces hot new iPhone 5 and iPad Mini and tells more about the upcoming revolutionary Apple TV. Keep in mind that Apple is the driving force behind two of the three major indices.

Top Class: Who has something to say about the markets and what charts to use?


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