Cyrrus (Cyrrus)
Markets  |  August 08, 2012 09:36:15

Breakfast-stock 8.8 - Rating outlook Greece macro results


Overview of major events for Wednesday, the 8th August 2012

U.S.

Continued growth in

ASIA

Also, speculation about the upcoming CB interventions

EUROPE

S & P lowers rating outlook of Greece

SUPERSPAD

Kloeckner, Rio Tinto

COMMODITIES

Oil

Upcoming Events

11:30 BoE Inflation Report

12:00 Industrial Production Germany

22:30 Oil API

Ralph Lauren - 14:00
Dean Foods - before the U.S. market
Kinross Gold - for U.S. market
Monster Beverage - after the U.S. market

U.S.

  • For the third consecutive day of gains
  • The reason for better reporting of results of companies and especially the expectations of central bank intervention

Season Results

  • The results already reported 87% of companies in the S & P 500
  • A good season in terms of profit, but disappointing in sales
  • The weakest sector utilities again

ASIA

  • Same reasons as growth in the U.S., that is speculation on the CB intervention and the good results of the companies

EUROPE

Greece

  • S & P lowers rating outlook from stable to negative
  • Agency does not like the weakening economy
  • He fears that the conditions for receiving another part of the assistance and the need for greater support from the EU
  • Now the S & P rating of CCC, or 8 degrees below investment zone and the second worst
  • The worst possible rating already has Moody'si from Fitch

BOE

  • It is expected that today will reduce economic growth outlook and VB estimation of inflation
  • The estimate should BOE Inflation expected to drop below its 2% target
  • This gives room for further increase in stimulus
  • The possibility of a rate cut from 0.5% to 0.25% and increase the volume of bond redemptions

SUPERSPAD

Kloeckner 2Q

  • Sales 1.96 billion, six. 1.97 billion
  • EBITDA of EUR 50 million, six. 48.9 million EUR
  • Net loss of EUR 37.7 million, six. 10.1 million EUR
  • It confirms the sales target, but reduces the estimate of EBITDA
  • Probably the negative reaction

Rio 1H

  • EBITDA of 10.08 billion USD, EST. 9.9 billion USD
  • Net profit of 5.885 billion USD, EST. 5.04 billion
  • 1H Dividend $ 0.725 / share
  • CC 10:30 CET

COMMODITIES

Oil

  • Smaller increases in profits after withdrawal of the last days
  • Again there are concerns about U.S. economic growth as the largest consumer of oil
  • Yesterday DOE increased its estimate of the average price of WTI crude oil for next year from $ 88.5 to $ 90.25
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