Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  August 08, 2012 16:51:00

Czech crown in the center of a slightly stronger

Even in the middle of the koruna against the euro during the day slightly improved their sales, when the morning at around 25.16 CZK / EUR has moved close to the 25.10 level. In contrast, the Hungarian forint and Polish zloty weakened, as well as on Monday. Lost and other risky assets, such as European shares upisovaly after 16 hour around 0.8%.
The economic data we have now lived to see the Hungarian trade balance for June, which showed a surplus of EUR 761.7 million, which was above market expectations. In line with market expectations and it increased our unemployment rate in July to 8.3% in June of this year's low of 8.1%.Exhausted because the positive seasonal factors negatively he emergence of new graduates in the labor market. Number of unemployed in July increased by 11 thousand to 486 thousand total, growth occurred in 72 districts.
Tomorrow we will see the Czech consumer price inflation in July. Demand pressures in the Czech economy do not exist (or has an anti-inflationary domestic demand) and due to the development of consumer spending would not occur even in the near future. Adjusted inflation (inflation of other items that were not mentioned above) should still hold in July near zero (-0.1% y / y). Headline inflation should then be lowered from 3.5% in June y / y to 3.3%.From the perspective of mom should fall in July, fuel prices (-0.8%) and food (-0.8%, seasonally adjusted, however, food prices would be flat). On the other hand, should increase regulated prices (0.1% m / m) and the price of cigarettes due to changes in excise duty. Finally, prices of other goods and services, mainly due to seasonality should increase by 0.36% m / m
Czech swap curve in the middle of major remained broadly unchanged.

Author: Jiri Skop

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