Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Commodities  |  August 29, 2012 07:49:00

At least until Friday the USD / EUR apparently does not experience significant changes

The euro held yesterday afternoon near his 7týdenního highs against the euro, while the exchange rate USD / EUR was above 1255. On Tuesday morning, however, found the rate was still below 1.25. In the markets, there was rather less liquidity and strengthening of the euro over the border of 1255 was caused according to Reuters by purchasing a monthly Eurodollar options one of the big U.S. investment banks.

USD / EUR holding on to higher levels of Friday's planned speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, from whom are awaiting notification (or at least a hint), possible further round of quantitative easing, and the ECB meeting next week, which should reduce interest rates in addition to decide on the repurchase of government bonds affected countries. We can therefore expect that probably at least until Friday afternoon course not experience significant changes.

Something about the state of the world's largest economy might indicate today's Beige Book and thereby increase or dispel speculation about QE3. In addition, we will see the structure of the GDP for Q2 12th It is expected that the estimated growth of the U.S. economy will be revised slightly higher to 1.7% q / q (in annualizovaném terms) from the original first estimate of 1.5%. The credit should be given to the particular net exports and household consumption or lower decrease government spending, while making allowance inventories should be negative (initially positive).

From Europe, will be published the first estimates of German consumer inflation. This should accelerate its August annual dynamics to 2.1% from July's 1.9%. Monitored will confidence indicators from France.

Author: Miroslav Frayer

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Minimálně do pátku kurz USD/EUR zřejmě výrazných změn nezažije

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