iPoint (iPoint.cz)
Czech markets  |  September 06, 2012 09:21:35

View stock 9.6: Markets are stagnating, but volume increases significantly (+ CETV)


Equity markets before a crucial meeting of the ECB this year stagnated. No wonder, because today is from Mr Mario Draghi (ECB) to wait absolutely anything. Many analysts expected to reduce the policy rate from 0.75% a quarter percentage point to 0.50%, although the consensus counts while maintaining current levels. Although Germany is not yet resolved effect rescue fund ESM, the ECB should present his plan for reducing the yields on government bonds of peripheral economies today. The question is how to do it markets will react. As we mentioned earlier, the Eurodollar market is traded with respect to a realistic threat of a currency crisis in the eurozone. Logic would therefore be if the euro on any loose monetary policy reacted increase, although fundamentally weakening currency.This imbalance may then could be used just as if it were clear that in the near future by the Fed no further QE, which we should find out at the next FOMC meeting next week. Another question mark is the bond market. Programs LTRO apparently ended in a fiasco, and so from the ECB expect much more impressive measures. Given that yields on government bonds of Spain and Italy hold still relatively high, we can expect that the ECB will come with such steps, which lead to their clear, at least short-term reductions. The biggest question is then the stock market. You will be in our opinion, the main word FED, because U.S. stocks can be seen as a leading global market guidance. From the moment we expect the Fed passivity, and for this reason it is our outlook for the stock market short-term negative ...

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September 12, 2012Share views 9.12: Why the Fed euphoria cools markets iPoint (iPoint.cz)

Akciový výhled 6.9.: Trhy stagnují, volume ale výrazně roste (+CETV)

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