Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
World markets  |  September 17, 2012 10:46:00

Euro on a new four-month peak


The euro on Friday attributed significant gains due to announcement of a new quantitative easing, the Fed and other measures to stimulate the U.S. economy. The common European currency and eventually benefited from the publication of negative data in the U.S.. Euro and scored nearly 2%, and the interbank market closed slightly above 1.31 USD / EUR.

Friday's data on the U.S. economy brought more disappointment. August's industrial production fell by 1.2% m / m, when the markets are expecting stagnation. Retail sales for August also rose by 0.9% m / m (0.8% of the market), but the reason was largely a nominal increase in sales of fuel due to the growth of their prices (retail sales in the U.S. are reported in nominal terms ). Higher price pressures also confirmed August consumer inflation, which reached 0.6% m / mAccording to our colleagues from the SG has significantly negative impact on the U.S. economy, unprecedented droughts that could reduce GDP in the second half of the year up by 0.5 pp.

Today we will see the data for international trade and balance of payments of the euro area, but this is not the most important indicators. The September index of manufacturing activity in the New York area should be estimated market improved to -2 points after a significant decline in August -5.85 points.

This week will be published on Tuesday, September ZEW index in Germany together with PMI indices for two days afterwards. In them, the better he could express sentiment through ECB action to support countries affected by the debt crisis.Thursday will be an important indicator of China's PMI for September, in August, had fallen deep into the zone contraction value of 47.6 points.

Author: Marek Dřímal

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