Vladimír Urbánek (Kurzy.cz)
Commodities  |  September 20, 2012 16:17:20

Commodity prices have probably peaked, if QE3 fails, correction


The greatest growth in commodity prices this year, which came after the announcement of QE3 by the Fed is most likely already exhausted because market bypasses increasingly convinced that further stimulus will not have the desired effect and does not promote economic growth.

According to the survey concludes Bloomberg Commodity Index S & P GSCI this year at 677 points, which is about 3.1% above the current level. Since the beginning of the index gained 1.8%. Since the announcement of the stimulus measures by the ECB index has lost 1.8% and 3.8% of the notification itself QE3 U.S. Fed. Interestingly during QE1 and QE2 from late 2008 to mid-2010, said index gained 92%.
Analysts and exerti is estimated that the effect of the last round of quantitative easing will be smaller, the starting situation is very different, because commodity markets are in a bull phase, and Europe has a recession and China slows QUARTER for 6 in a row.
Europe, along with China for comparison represent full 60% of the global copper market and a full 33% of the global oil market.
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Ceny komodit již zřejmě dosáhly vrcholu, pokud QE3 selže, dojde ke korekci

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