Markets  |  October 05, 2012 12:08:16

White House and equities reload the labor market

This week brought the relevant meetings of the central banks, which, however, nothing nepredviedli together. ECB, BoE BoJ also kept monetary policy without changing the volume etc. QE. Very was an expected FOMC Minutes , which was also neutral on the one hand, some members of the FOMC expressed concern that further stimulus could threaten prospective hyperuvoľnenej exit from monetary policy. On the other hand, the majority agreed that incentives are good for growth and expect even greater growth in the coming years.

On further increase this, however, can no longer rely upon U.S. President Obama, Who has applied for re-election to the White House and a risk to him are currently bleak outlook for the labor market. After the first TV debate, you lost the vyzývateľom with Romney if he could have some additional bad news really hurt yet still leads in the polls. Today's labor market data could then be arbitrom not just for the stock markets, but also for the presidential campaign . Pending is just half the number of jobs created over the previous year (September 2011) and even an increase in the unemployment rate to 8.2%, while the White House would like to see fall below 8%.

On the chart below, we see that U.S. stocks are pending under tohtoročnými peaksdata so far now as bad or even non-production manufacturing sector expands over the splashing, factory orders better, ADP job creation in the private sector also came out better (although recent data have been revised downward). At this year's new peaks, however, need to čerešničku torte more results nonfarm payrolls thus creating jobs across the economy. If will be better, will be glad. If you receive any more could be bad bad.

In the euro area is also waiting. Cypriots have already returned to their popular tactics to explain to others what they should do.Threesome that's not willing to listen and negotiate on the budget are suspended. I previously did not know the zhodnúť on how much of it has the Greek economy to decline next year. Greeks are optimists and built on a budget. To Threesome neodobrila. In Monday's ECOFIN (EU Finance Ministers), Tuesday's Eurogroup (eurozone finance ministers). In mid-October, the EU summit. And everything is directed to the fact that the next tranche of aid for Greece agreed in October decided. And they have the money to Greeks and to the end of November, then the problem occurs.

In Spain, the situation is still neprehľadnejšia. Yesterday was a very anticipated ECB governor Draghi's speech, which, however, according to thy good habit not say anything specific. Originating grand speech about how the ECB will do everything necessary to save the euro replaced the less courageous speech (approved in Berlin), but which has been referred to in the past.Still, it is unclear which way shall run cooperation Threesomes, ESM and ECB rescue in large economies. Threesomes should negotiate terms, yes, but does not know how to, or when it will be well with your IMF Funds. ESM should be napákované to retail knows enough funds to, or should happen and when. The ECB should buy bonds if the conditions. The following conditions Draghi yesterday not say anything. Eurogroup spokesman said today that Spain will not hurry with the request for assistance as the situation in the market is peaceful. So Spaniel waiting for the market and the market obviously waiting for Spaniards. Someone will have to do the first step. And when the long standing movements tend to be violent.

Author: Thomas Swimmer | TRIM Broker, as | Trading on exchanges TRIM Broker

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