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Commodities  |  October 05, 2012 13:11:54

Commodity price outlook for 2013, according to Morgan Stanley

The world population is growing, and so many financial advisors advise clients to invest in commodities. Given the bad weather plan substantially signed to crops, the commodity team Morgan Stanley strategists led Hussein Allidiny prefer to buy soybeans, corn and wheat. Should flourish and precious metals, because loose monetary policy of central banks forcing investors look for value elsewhere than in paper currencies.


The expected average price in 2012: 110 USD / barrel

The expected average price in 2013: 115 USD / barrel

Instability in the Middle East and the loose monetary policy of the central bank will support the growth of oil prices. Although in the last quarter will negatively affect the demand for oil weaker fundamentals, geopolitical risks should cause early growth rates.

Natural gas

The expected average price in 2012: $ 2.74 / MMBT

The expected average price in 2013: $ 4.00 / MMBT

Oversupply of natural gas due to the slowdown in the rate of extraction will decrease, which would be the end of 2012 to get the market into balance and pressure on price growth.


The expected average price in 2012: 2 100 USD / ton

The expected average price in 2013: 2 200 USD / ton

Price of aluminum will remain low due to excess production capacity and high global stocks still around two years.


The expected average price in 2012: 17 800 USD / ton

The expected average price in 2013: 18 300 USD / ton

Offer nickel remains high, yet the risk of delays in new projects, expansion of production and the impact of development in Indonesia will increase pressure on prices.


The expected average price in 2012: 7 900 USD / ton

The expected average price in 2013: 8 300 USD / ton

Problems on the supply side of the market will cause continued concern and copper price increase. World supplies remain limited.

How will thrive in 2013 other commodities such as gold or wheat can be found on the web Investment

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Výhled cen komodit na rok 2013 podle Morgan Stanley

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