BHS (BH Securities a.s.)
Markets  |  October 09, 2012 10:51:36

IMF lowers growth outlook economies expected to meet deficit targets

International Monetary Fund (IMF) held its regular updating perspective. Compared to July report this reduced estimate of global GDP growth from +3.5% to +3.3% for the next year then from +3.9% to +3.6%. The Czech Republic has a year to reach 1% of GDP, in 2013, +0.8%.  

Eurozone this year would be to experience a decline in GDP of -0.4% compared to -0.3% the previous outlook. For next year, there has been a reduction in the estimate of +0.7% to +0.2%. To the contrary, the U.S. has increased this perspective +2.2%. For 2013, however, for at +2.1%.

The IMF expects that a number of countries such as Spain, France and also meet this year's target of state budget deficits. Countries have reduced their spending, increase taxes, but economic development has an impact on revenue collection.

Government debt is growing faster than expected especially in Greece, where there is a significant deterioration in economic development. According to the IMF here this debt will reach 171% of GDP, in 2013, 182% (previously 153% IMF predicted, respectively. 161%). Development so complicated an ambitious plan to achieve deficit reduction.

View global development would, according to the IMF could even further worsen unless further problems in Europe, and also to address the so-called "fiscal cliff" in the U.S.. Country according to the IMF should find an alternative to the planned automatic tax increases and spending cuts, which can be triggered by the recession.Many emerging countries in Europe, according to the IMF room for further rate reduction or suspension of dealing with risks, respectively. debt.

Regarding the development of the domestic economy, then we can mention the September inflation report today. Consumer Price Index mom fell as expected by -0.1% (+3.4% yoy).


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MMF snižuje výhled růstu ekonomik, neočekává splnění cílů deficitů

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