Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  October 17, 2012 08:23:00

Significant gains euro


Yesterday the euro against the dollar in the market greatly prospered. Following reports in the press that Spain is ready to apply for financial aid and start to bond purchases by the ESM and ECB euro garnering eight tenths percent. This morning, during the Asian trading has moved even further to the level of 1.31 USD / EUR. Euro benefit that Moody? With a rating of Spain retained unchanged in the investment zone, but his outlook has worsened.

Inflation in the euro area in September was revised slightly downwards from 2.7% to 2.6% y / y. Core inflation excluding volatile food prices and fuels fell compared to August at 1.8% to 1.6% y / y declined, due to inflationary pressures. Especially in peripheral EMU countries is practically zero core inflation and thus lower the price index for the euro area down.

October German ZEW index positively surprised when the expectations component of the situation for six months improved from -18.2 points in September to -11.5 points (-14.9 market point). This is the second significant increase in a row thanks to actions of central banks to stimulate the economy and help the countries affected by the debt crisis. Evaluation component ZEW current conditions index, but rather decreased slightly to 10.0 points from 12.6 points (11.8 points market), which is consistent with recent data that showed the German economy, including the weakening of domestic demand.

In the euro area will now only be published in August construction, which are not among the most important indicators. In the U.S., we see the September data from the real estate market. Our colleagues from SG expect that the number of housing starts of new homes and the number of building permits issued should record the highest value for spolední four years.

Author: Marek Dřímal

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