Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
World markets  |  November 02, 2012 08:07:00

Uncertainty about Greece further condenses euro to its knees

The United States last wave of favorable macroeconomic data. Consumer confidence rose to 4 years maximum, which still refers to solid household consumption. Even data from the labor market were favorable or leading index showed manufacturing activity in the growing activity. The reaction of the USD / EUR, however the data was fairly lukewarm. Investors have noticed further developments in Greece, where the court ruled that the proposed pension reform as a step in the consolidation of public finances is unconstitutional. Euro and during Thursday had tended to weaken and during today's Asian trading moved near the border 1.29 USD / EUR.

Despite yesterday's good data on the U.S. labor market will be the key to a report published this afternoon. According to the SG should be job creation for October 90 thousand., But this is compared with the consensus pessimistic estimate (125 thousand).. On the contrary, unemployment was estimated by colleagues from SG drop to 7.7%, while the consensus points to rise to 7.9%. However, it must be said that this expected decline is mainly influenced by the decline in the participation rate, or the share of economically active persons in the total population. Any disappointment from today's figures should weaken the U.S. dollar due to growing expectations for further support of the U.S. economy from the Fed.

On the European continent, we will see the final PMI index of leading, which should be more or less confirmed on preliminary numbers, which generally indicate further decline in the euro area, even including the European leader in Germany.

Author: Miroslav Frayer

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