Research (Česká spořitelna)
Markets  |  November 14, 2012 10:00:10

Proposal to delay the release of emission allowances

Yesterday the European Commission published its long-awaited draft deferral issue emission allowances in the 3rd allocation period (NAP III). The Commission has proposed postponing issue 900 million allowances in the period 2013-15, which is considered the upper limit of the number of (400 to 1 200 million). Price of emission allowances on Monday responded to a 9% increase yesterday in response to a proposal issued decreased by about 8% due to doubt that it will be enforced in the current version (Bloomberg).

The market for emission allowances positively that the proposal is in the upper range, and we would expect that the price of allowances will gradually increase.
Although it may be a relief design, our conservative assumption is that the prices of emission allowances in the next year moved to 10 € and maybe even higher, which will support the price of electricity.

Petr Bartek
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