HighSky (HighSky)
Currencies  |  November 14, 2012 11:08:00

Futures contract for 10-year T-Note


Futures contract for 10-year T-Note falls by 0.2% d / d to 133.7. The market last week ranked among the most profitable investments, particularly with the support of Obama's victory in the presidential election, and partly also the problem of uncertainty over the fiscal cliff, thus reducing the set of tax breaks, government spending and the budget deficit. Price strained resistance band 133.4 134.2 and settled in it, its floor and ceiling has now effectively support and resistance. Traders also focused now new resistance 134.5.

10ytnote, daily comment

Long-term, the market continues to grow with the support of the main fundamental issue, investing in safe assets. This follows from the growth of uncertainty and fears of a deepening debt crisis in the Eurozone.They are sharpened uncertain developments in Greece and the Eurozone or the world economy. Additionally there is a planned expansion of U.S. fiscal limitations early next year. The recovery in the U.S. economy and weakening (see slowdown ek. Activity and employment in the lackluster level).

The market is now focusing on the October retail sales / retail sales, excluding car sales or PPI / PPI excluding food and energy, the U.S. (14.30 CET all) as well as the minutes of the Fed meeting on interest rates 23-24/10 (20.00 CET). Is expected to confirm the acceleration in consumer demand last month and rather mild and continued optimal growth and production prices minus food and energy prices. Fed mentioned meeting on interest rate unchanged and Markets surprise.Fed in a statement the decision in comparison with the comment to the decision on interest rates in September (notifying increase monetary expansion) has implemented major changes. He also confirmed interest for a longer period ultravolné monetary policy because of the ongoing eurozone debt crisis, uncertainty and stress in financial markets, the weakening of economic activity and the potential vulnerability of the economy to external and internal shocks. Minutes should reflect and comment on the decision not to ruffle more level trading.

Josef Kvarda
Analyst
HighSky Brokers

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