World markets  |  November 29, 2012 17:14:08

End of the year is likely to be calm / BIG EXPERT - foreign markets: a week from 26 11th 2,012


U.S. and European stocks have completed some very successful days. On both sides of the Atlantic is stock indexes from mid-November could grow by more than 5% despite the fact that American politicians are still unable to find a match in an effort to mitigate the impact of the upcoming fiscal cliff.

S & P500 so again this week over the 1 vyhoupnul 400B., Without the U.S., Europe, or the data came from China to alleviate fears of a gradual slowdown in the world economy. Just prior to the slowdown in the week while the OECD warned that significantly reduced the outlook for 2013 for most developed countries.

Causes of growth in prices of risky assets it is necessary to look elsewhere and one of the possible variants is increased activity of the U.S. central bank. This is the last week finally began buying mortgage-backed bonds, which it intends to buy the QE3 every month for 40 billion dollars. Although Fed QE3 announced in September, with the actual purchases just started last week when suctioned out of the market for mortgage bonds, $ 29 billion, and the total volume of bonds in its possession has climbed to the highest level in the last 12 months. Now the actual launch QE3 may therefore be due to the very tight correlation between the Fed's balance and the development of the S & P500, one of the reasons that will prevent significant correction in risky assets in the coming weeks.

December will be dominated by efforts to mitigate the impact of American politicians approaching fiscal cliff because Republicans and Democrats alike have expressed their willingness to find common ground, may ultimately financial markets due to the U.S. central bank to wait quite a quiet end of the year.

Jaroslav Brychta, X-Trade Brokers

Expert opinions on the future development in selected foreign markets monitored through indices and comparison with the Czech capital market (PX) in the next month and a half, a week from 26 11th 2012th


Experts estimate for the period of one month

Pointer
Hodn.
23rd 11th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
976.90
976.60
980
ˇ -0.03
960-998
3
2
Dow Jones (U.S.)
13 009,53
12 850,80
12800
ˇ-1.22
12640 - 13114
1
4
NASDAQ (U.S.)
2 966,85
2 962,00
2,950
ˇ -0.16
2920 - 3020
2
3
FTSE 100 (UK)
5 819,10
5 799,80
5,800
ˇ -0.33
5730 - 5899
2
3
DAX (Germany)
7 309,13
7 341,40
7,300
^ 0.44
7190 - 7467
2
3
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
9 366,89
9 288,80
9,320
ˇ -0.83
9100 - 9494
1
4


Experts estimate for the period of 6 months

Pointer
Hodn.
23rd 11th
Diameter
Median
Change
in%
Interval
Growth
Decrease
PX
976.90
992.60
1,000
^ 1.61
945 - 1 050
3
2
Dow Jones (U.S.)
13 009,53
13 350,80
13450
^ 2.62
12830 - 13600
4
1
NASDAQ (U.S.)
2 966,85
3 060,00
3,100
^ 3.14
2 820 - 3 200
4
1
FTSE 100 (UK)
5 819,10
5 893,60
6,000
^ 1.28
5550 - 6100
3
2
DAX (Germany)
7 309,13
7 397,00
7,500
^ 1.20
6850 - 7700
4
1
Nikkei 225 (JPN)
9 366,89
9 380,40
9,320
^ 0.14
8900 - 9700
2
3

Rating this week performed:

  • Menčík Thomas, George Šimara - CYRRUS
  • Libor Bucek, Jan Mach, Milan Nedbálek - FINANCE Zlín
  • Patrick Hudec - Generali PPF Asset Management, a fund manager společnost
  • Karel Handbag, Miroslav Hlavoň - CAPITAL GRANT
  • Jaroslav Brychta - X-Trade Brokers

The tables contain a summary of the estimates of experts in the list. The column "Actual value" represents the value of the monitored indices (Friday's closing value), from which experts in their estimates came out. With this value, the estimates of experts after a period of one to six months, compared to evaluate success. "Median" is a number that is in the middle the size of a structured set of estimates and "Interval Estimates" lists the minimum and maximum estimate file.Columns "Increase / Decrease" indicate the number of experts assume that the index of the period under consideration, given the current value rises or falls.
Note: Estimates are in the form of non-binding opinions with regard to the expected development in the next one month and a half year. The fact, however, may substantially differ from the estimates of experts. Experts even Kurzy.cz assume no responsibility for these differences.

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