Cyrrus (Cyrrus)
Markets  |  December 03, 2012 10:27:43

Joint Stock breakfast 12.03 - China, Merkel and Greek haircut, PMI from the world



Overview of the main events for Monday, the 3rd December 2012

 

 

USA  

x

ASIA

Slightly better Chinese macro data

EUROPE

Merkel conceded hair-cut Greek debt

SUPERSPAD

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Upcoming Events

Germany Manufacturing PMI 9:55
10:00 EZ PMI Manufacturing '
14:58 U.S. Markit PMI
16:00 ISM Manufacturing
16:00 U.S. construction spending
23:00 U.S. sales of cars

USA

  • U.S. markets on Friday ended trading around zero, while the S & P 500 rose 0.02%, the Dow Jones +0.03%, and the Nasdaq fell by 0.06%. Indexes are moving most of the day in negative territory, but an hour before the close of trading went back to the opening values.

ASIA

Estimates of China's GDP growth in 2013 - according to Bloomberg:

  • 56% of analysts: a 7.5% growth in 2012
  • 37% of analysts: a decrease to 7.0%
  • 7% analysts: growth at 8%
  • Official goal should be announced in March 2013

China - Macro:

  • PMI in the industry for November at 50.6 vs value. estimate of 50.8 vs. last 50.2
  • In the services PMI for November at 55.6 vs value. last 55.5
  • PMI in the industry according to HSBC for November at 50.5 vs value. estimate of 50.4 vs. last 49.5

EUROPE

Merkel

  • For the first time conceded that Germany could agree with another hair-cute
  • But they have one major condition: Greece must not be in the public finance deficit
  • Which will not be before 2015
  • Today politicians will finalize the Greek debt buyback plan, they want to buy 10 billion
  • Today Greece is beginning to offer for buyback of debt issued this year
  • 10th 12th It will evaluate

Downgrades EFSF and ESM funds:

  • Moody's lowers rating from Aaa to Aa1, negative outlook
  • Justify the high correlation between credit risk contributors to the fund
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