Saxo Bank (Saxo Bank)
Commodities  |  December 17, 2012 13:48:49

The average price of oil is already two years alter


iPoint.cz

Brent crude is trading despite the uncertain times in recent years, relatively constant range. Stable oil prices should remain well into the future. Experts from Saxo Bank believe that within the next few years, Brent crude in the range of 90 to 125 U.S. dollars per barrel.

During the last two years, Brent became the benchmark for most trade in oil and is increasingly represented in the portfolios of investors. Recently, her weight was increased by one percent in two major commodity indices - S & P GSCI and DJ-UBS - to the detriment of WTI. It still does have the greatest weight, but in recent years a lot has failed.

Large upward movements were responsible for important events such as the war in Libya in 2011 or sanctions against Iran over its nuclear program at the beginning of 2012. Then have less impact as peripheral production losses, Sudan, Nigeria, Syria and North Sea.

Against the fear of disruption of oil supplies is a small increase in global demand as the world economy continues to grow at a slow pace. The recession in Europe and other areas acts as a counterweight to the rise in oil prices, which has resulted in several major and minor corrections.

"These are the main reasons that caused the near-zero annual change. In 2011, the average price was $ 110.75 per barrel this year it is still 110.70. "Said Ole Hansen, chief commodity strategist at Saxo Bank

Graph shown below shows the distribution of trading volume closest contracts payable as from January 2011. He shows consistency with average prices. Nearly nine percent of all transactions were in the range from 110 to 111 USD and 54% of the entire contract was devítidolarovém interval 106 and 115th

"As you can see, the left end of the graph is more elongated than the right. As an explanation, among other offers activity speculative traders and hedge funds. Speculators react to market movements either increasing or decreasing their exposure. This illustrates two peaks in the upper graph, which were followed by more or less sell-off.Merchants were forced to act because of their losing positions. During such closing long positions, the price often reaches a level that is fundamentally based. "Says Hansen.

 Globální online investiční banka

Saxo Bank je globální investiční banka specializující se na online obchodování a investice na mezinárodních finančních trzích. Saxo Bank umožňuje soukromým investorům a institucionálním klientům obchodovat s FX, CFD, cennými papíry, futures, opcemi a dalšími deriváty a poskytuje i profesionální správu portfolia a fondů díky svým online obchodním platformám oceněným řadou různých ocenění.

Více informací na: www.saxobank.cz

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