Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
Currencies  |  December 19, 2012 16:05:00

Czech koruna weakened on Wednesday

Major domestic events of this week was Wednesday's meeting of the CNB. Rate change is expected from the Central Bank, attention is so focused on the subsequent comments. Czech crown to the upcoming press conference weakened from morning levels around 25.20 CZK / EUR 25.30 to close. From nearby regional currencies have weakened the Polish zloty.
The meeting itself CNB press conference did not bring anything of substance and risk assessment was in line with expectations. CNB sees risks to the last CNB forecast to be slightly anti-inflationary, as weak data from the domestic economy to some extent compensates for the weakening crown.Attention is focused on the markets can note the koruna against the euro (or to any intervention), from this perspective press conference disappointed when no comments on this fall. Crown after the press conference and strengthened back to the surface of 25.20 CZK / EUR.
In Poland, there was published in November industrial production, whose decline by 0.8% y / y disappointed (the market had expected a slight increase of 0.5%). After seasonal adjustment, the industry was even lower by 1.9% y / y. These data thus confirm the cooling of the Polish economy, which the local central bank reacts by reducing rates. Tomorrow is another of the Polish economy will see core inflation for November, which should decelerate from 1.9% y / y to 1.7%. In the domestic economy, no data will be published.
Czech swap yield curve at the center corrected its decline from the previous days and increased by 4 bp at the end of his long and 1 bp at the short end.

Author: Jiri Skop

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