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Commodities  |  December 21, 2012 08:01:37

Shocking predictions for 2013

Drastic drop in oil and gold prices, revenues from 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds twice and massive nationalization of the Japanese electronics industry - these are just some of the shocking predictions for 2013 from the Danish Saxo Bank. Not the main scenario, but an event which, if it would become a reality, heavy toll on what is happening in world markets

Oil for $ 50

Revolution in the extraction of shale gas and oil in the U.S., coupled with slow economic growth may drive the price of oil WTI to the boundary $ 50 per barrel. U.S. is in a unique situation where they expect to be able to produce much more oil than previously expected.U.S. WTI oil production rose sharply and inventories are currently at 30-year highs as oil export options are still limited. OPEC and Russia react belatedly, oil revenues are in need of the growing public spending, therefore limiting production hesitant. All this will lead to further growth in supply.

WTI Crude Oil

Soybeans +50%

China is aggressively supplying this food commodity. Last year, Saxo Bank predicted a similar increase in wheat prices, which eventually overtook corn due to extremely bad weather.

Gold for 1 200 USD

Strong U.S. economic recovery in 2013 surprised the financial markets, particularly those investing in gold. In recent years due to global uncertainty and low interest rate environment reigned in the market. Along with the recovery of gold also hurting weakening demand from China and India, both of which are struggling with slowing growth and rising unemployment.

Fed to restrict or completely stop buying mortgage assets and government bonds, which will encourage hedge funds to get rid of gold. Onceen / courses / Commodities / charts / detail / gold / "target =" # 27 "> Gold drops below 1 500 USD per ounce, the other one sales, this time from investors in ETFs. evaluate before central banks (especially those of the young markets), the price of gold as an attractive shopping and start again, it will have to forfeit the price of yellow metal up to 1 200 USD per ounce.


Debt crisis will also affect the core of the euro area

The German stock index DAX and this year one of the most powerful, may fall by a third, because the German industrial expansion in the next year due to the Chinese slowdown begins to stagnate. This causes a weakening of industrial stocks such as Siemens, BASF and Daimler. Market stress negatively affects consumer confidence and domestic demand, which will not be able to compensate for dwindling exports. Worse economic situation will reduce the chances for reelection Merkel in elections in the third quarter of the 2013th DAX falls to the limit of 5000 points.

What else can investors by Saxo Bank next year shocked to learn at the Investment Site

Read also:

Where to invest in 2013.

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