Cyrrus (Cyrrus)
Markets  |  December 21, 2012 10:19:31

Joint Stock breakfast 12.21 - Fiscal cliff, Witching Day, macro



Overview of the main event for Friday, the 21st December 2012

USA

Fiscal Cliff

Witching Day

ASIA

Reaction to U.S.

EUROPE

Consumer confidence in Germany

SUPERSPAD

Nike

COMMODITIES

Oil

Upcoming Events

14:30 Personal Income and expenses USA
14:30 U.S. durable goods orders
15:55 Consumer confidence according to Michigan

USA

Fiscal reef

  • Yesterday the vote should take place on Boehnerově "Plan B"
  • At the last moment it was canceled. A large part of the Republicans are still refusing to talk about any tax increases. Boehner so for him not adopted
  • But even if Plan B passed the House, the Senate, respectively. the President would hit
  • Another vote will be possible until after Christmas, giving the politicians only a week to find agreement
  • Increase the chances of failure to avert the collapse of the Fiscal Cliff
  • Much of the legislation can be done retroactively

Reaction futures S & P 500

  • Initial reactions to -3.4%, -1.5% now around

Quadruple Witching Day

  • Will take place today
  • Ends contracts for four different derivatives (equity options, index options, futures and stock index futures)
  • Be expected to increase the volatility and trading volume
  • The volume increase can be about 50%

ASIA

  • Negative reaction to the problems the U.S.

EUROPE

Consumer confidence in Germany

  • Slightly worse

SUPERSPAD

Nike

  • EPS $ 1.14, est. 1 USD
  • Revenues of USD 5.96 billion, est. 6.01 billion USD
  • Orders 7%, est. 7.1%
    • North America 14%, est. 9.9%
    • 0% Western Europe, est. 3.8%
    • CEE 11%, est. 7%
    • China 7%, est. -6.2%
    • Japan 4%, est. 6%
    • Emerging Markets 11%, est. 15%
  • Business in China continues to be disappointing, except NA and CEE orders were below expectations in all markets
  • Increased personnel costs in Asia
  • In 3Q expect further decline in gross margins to improve in Q4
  • Everything but offset strong growth in the NA, the first after-market -2.3% +5% eventually
  • Adidas will now support

COMMODITIES

Oil

  • Negative reaction to the vote on the Fiscal revoked cliff
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Akciová snídaně 21.12. - fiscal cliff, Witching Day, makro

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