Research (Investicniweb.cz)
Macroeconomics  |  December 29, 2012 14:04:26

Ten Black Swans for 2013 from DB and Morgan Stanley



With predictions of extreme scenarios are left behind Saxo Bank or other financial companies. For example, Deutsche Bank, in its biggest potential surprises of 2013 mentions the shift to a very unconventional Fed policies or Europe as solar power. Morgan Stanley in turn gives a higher probability than Brixitu Grexitu and allows integration of former Soviet republics in groupings like the former Soviet Union.

TOP 5 potential Black Swans, Deutsche Bank:

The purchase of shares as a new unconventional Fed policy

Fed use of the exception in the Federal Reserve Act, which allows for exceptional circumstances of extreme monetary measures, and begins to buy stocks. Share appreciation is an important source of growth in household wealth.

Greece appears reserves of natural gas in excess of the value of the entire national debt

Greece may in its submarine areas appear natural gas reserves. Inspiration can be Levantinská sites in the coastal waters of Israel.

North Korea opens to the world

Young North Korean leader Kim Jong-un plans to follow the path of reform in the way of China in the 70th and 80 years. In January, the Kim Jong-un was visiting China.New Chinese President Si Jinping has close ties with North Korea and is considering further strategic cooperation, which could develop in the new political conditions.

Europe superpower solar power plants in the Sahara thanks

Sahara area the size of Wales is covered by solar plants would provide enough energy throughout Europe. This theory may become a reality thanks to the initiatives firms such as Desertec, which is a consortium founded in 2009 in order to use the sun's rays hitting the desert without any benefit.

The world economy will affect climate change

Climate change impacts on the amount of financial markets. For example, drought in the U.S., Russia and Brazil can cause more rapid rise in commodity prices.Typhoons and hurricanes can have a negative impact on GDP and slow economic recovery.

What is the top 5 potential Black Swans, Morgan Stanley, can be found on the web Investment

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