Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
World markets  |  January 02, 2013 15:42:00

Crown at home in 2013 under mild selling pressure

Koruna against the euro during the first trading day of 2013 weakened slightly when she lost just over half a percent. While the first morning quotes were found still around 25.10 CZK / EUR exchange rate gradually climbed to just above 25.20 CZK / EUR. Domestic currency too beneficial for the publication of the December PMI index of industrial activity. The conditions in this sector is at the end of last year further deteriorated.

Czech PMI index of industrial production fell significantly below market expectations of up to 46.0 points. The fifth decline in a row means a fall to the lowest level in the last three and a half years. Is particularly alarming slump in new orders due to lower demand in the domestic and foreign market is concentrating primarily in the automotive and construction industries. It is therefore a series of other indicators that the recession that began early last year, lasted until its conclusion.

Even more significantly during the day, the euro weakened against the Hungarian forint, by more than 3 percent to 293 HUF / EUR. He responded to the great frustration that brought PMI index. While still in November activity in the Hungarian industrial sector grew in December meant a significant fall. The only Central European currency, which started the year a slight strengthening, the Polish zloty. Although the Polish PMI index is below 50 points, ie in the zone of decreasing activity, the result of the market did not disappoint and ended above the average market expectations.

Tomorrow's economic calendar for Central Europe does not add anything. Trading will be guided by the mood of the players on the global markets. If the data from Germany / USA disappoint, Central European currencies could feel some support. From a fundamental point of view, however, is not a reason to strengthen.Foreign demand in all Central European countries fades.

Author: Jan Vejmělek

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Koruna na úvod roku 2013 pod mírným prodejním tlakem

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