Akcieatrhy (Akcieatrhy.cz)
Markets  |  January 03, 2013 09:54:40

Drinking coffee to prosperity

“Akcieatrhy.cz“Coffee prices have fallen since 2010 by 50%. We can make sure of that example on example of the investment equity fund ( ETF ) JO, which follows the development of futures contracts on coffee. Investments in shares JO then serves as collateral for financing the purchase of government bonds, the U.S., which serves as a second source of income.

Weekly, hourly and seasonal graph ETF Coffee (JO)

On the weekly chart at the top of the figure are plotted the estimated business goals for 2013. At the lower hourly chart clearly observable, as quietly enter into growth positions big investors. White middle graph is averaged seasonal chart that shows how the price of coffee varies during the year, when prices averaged movement of coffee from historical prices. The seasonal chart clearly see the growth in the period from January to March and correction to rise again in May.

Price of coffee is now moving while still in a downward trend, however, can be expected at the beginning of the end of the trend, and then its turnover grow to levels indicated resistance. This could bring in the year 2013 to 100% profit.

Graphical Analysis 1

Coffee futures prices in the monthly chart

Long-term monthly chart shows how the price of coffee has developed in recent years. Flying analysis shows where you can expect support, and where there is resistance. In areas of resistance (resistance) can be selected You can set business objectives and collect profits here.

Graphical Analysis 2

JO Coffee ETF share price versus Starbucks (SBUX)

Declining prices of coffee cafes and reduced costs for companies producing coffee for consumers. This was reflected in higher profits and share price growth companies such as: Starbucks (SBUX), Coffee Holdings Co. (JVA), Coffee Roasters Inc..
(GMCR) and Peets Coffee (PEET). However, the era of cheap coffee is coming to an end and the rising price of commodities is reflected in increased costs of companies. This will result in lower profits and then to decline in stock prices.

Graphical Analysis 3

Prophecy of coffee grounds

It seems that the long-term decline in the price of coffee is coming to an end. In the near future we may expect a turnover and then grow. The whole reasoning is not supported by the average seasonal prices that show in the first half of every first growth. Investing in your coffee, it can become an excellent business opportunity of 2013. On the other hand, with respect to the shares rise in price of coffee would not be significantly reflected in stock prices before the earnings season shows that they and other companies SBUX was really costs and reduced profits. Changing the direction of share price movements should thus follow the changing trend for the coffee market

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