Investiční bankovnictví (Komerční banka)
World markets  |  January 07, 2013 08:00:00

Euro fell to a three-week bottom

The first trading day of 2013 common European currency too failed. When I started at a relatively strong level at 1.3300 USD / EUR at the end of the week fell to a three-week low 1.3000 USD / EUR. Optimism that brought New Year Agreement U.S. lawmakers on fiscal consolidation, not last too long. It turns out that American politicians have only bought time and solutions postponed for two months. Was not very encouraging published data from the Eurozone confirming that the euro area continues struggling with the recession (as shown PMI index of industrial production). For Mirko correction euro exchange rate losses and shift to 1.3050 CZK / EUR in the end the session on Friday became the December publication of data from the U.S. labor market. Data no surprise, however, after their publication in the market was seen closing short euro positions and profit taking.

The actual beginning of the week will be uninteresting fundamental point of view, the rest of the week may bring many kurzotvorných factors. Tomorrow will be important now, which will bring the November data from the European labor market and the December confidence indicator for the euro area. It will be the last interesting economic indicators before Thursday's ECB meeting. Even though it was the last session of aggravated macroeconomic forecast, the response of the monetary policy is not waiting. Even from our perspective will be interesting German data - tomorrow it will be the November industrial orders in the middle of the industrial production for November. Both indicators are relatively optimistic economists SG. Overall, therefore, had no expectations for the euro sounds not bad for the dollar will continue to feel the uncertainty of dealing with fiscal problems, including the debt ceiling. Time is of the end of February.

Author: Jan Vejmělek

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